Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 92.5% implied probability for a qualifying U.S. moratorium on new AI data center construction passing into law before year-end, fueled by accelerating bipartisan backlash over grid strain, water usage, noise pollution, and environmental costs from hyperscale facilities. Over 54 local moratoriums have been enacted across 69 jurisdictions, with bills advancing in 20 states following the March federal Artificial Intelligence Data Center Moratorium Act by Sanders and Ocasio-Cortez; fresh momentum includes Indiana's May 12 cancellation of a 500MW project, Leavenworth County's 90-day moratorium vote on May 13, and Calipatria's hearings push. With legislatures in session through summer, traders anticipate resolution amid protests and utility warnings. Realistic challenges include gubernatorial vetoes, as in Maine's April rejection, and intense Big Tech lobbying emphasizing jobs and tax revenue, potentially stalling key bills.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日はい
$50,290 Vol.
$50,290 Vol.
はい
$50,290 Vol.
$50,290 Vol.
A qualifying moratorium go into effect against the construction of any facility described in the legal text as an AI data center, AI compute facility, AI training/inference data center, or similar. Any moratorium that applies to all “data centers” will also qualify.
The signing of such a bill will qualify regardless of the date such a moratorium actually comes into effect, or whether an injunction is put into place against qualifying legislation.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
マーケット開始日: Dec 17, 2025, 6:22 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...A qualifying moratorium go into effect against the construction of any facility described in the legal text as an AI data center, AI compute facility, AI training/inference data center, or similar. Any moratorium that applies to all “data centers” will also qualify.
The signing of such a bill will qualify regardless of the date such a moratorium actually comes into effect, or whether an injunction is put into place against qualifying legislation.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 92.5% implied probability for a qualifying U.S. moratorium on new AI data center construction passing into law before year-end, fueled by accelerating bipartisan backlash over grid strain, water usage, noise pollution, and environmental costs from hyperscale facilities. Over 54 local moratoriums have been enacted across 69 jurisdictions, with bills advancing in 20 states following the March federal Artificial Intelligence Data Center Moratorium Act by Sanders and Ocasio-Cortez; fresh momentum includes Indiana's May 12 cancellation of a 500MW project, Leavenworth County's 90-day moratorium vote on May 13, and Calipatria's hearings push. With legislatures in session through summer, traders anticipate resolution amid protests and utility warnings. Realistic challenges include gubernatorial vetoes, as in Maine's April rejection, and intense Big Tech lobbying emphasizing jobs and tax revenue, potentially stalling key bills.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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