Recent affirmations by major rating agencies underpin the strong trader consensus against another U.S. sovereign downgrade before 2027. Fitch and S&P both reaffirmed their AA+ ratings with stable outlooks in 2026, citing the economy’s resilience, dollar reserve status, and expectations of timely debt-ceiling resolutions despite elevated deficits near 7-8% of GDP. Moody’s 2025 downgrade to Aa1 completed the shift away from AAA across the big three agencies, with current outlooks signaling limited near-term downside risk. The debt limit, raised to $41.1 trillion in 2025, is projected to bind only in 2027, keeping immediate brinkmanship pressures outside the market window. Persistent fiscal imbalances and interest costs remain watchpoints, yet agencies have not signaled further action absent sharper deterioration.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日2027年までに別の米国債格下げ？
2027年までに別の米国債格下げ？
はい
14% 確率
$13,246 Vol.
$13,246 Vol.
2026/12/31
はい
14% 確率
$13,246 Vol.
$13,246 Vol.
2026/12/31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States' long-term sovereign credit letter rating is downgraded by any of the three major credit rating agencies (S&P, Moody's, Fitch) at any point by December 31, 2026 11:59pm ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Standard & Poor's, Moody's, or Fitch, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Recent affirmations by major rating agencies underpin the strong trader consensus against another U.S. sovereign downgrade before 2027. Fitch and S&P both reaffirmed their AA+ ratings with stable outlooks in 2026, citing the economy’s resilience, dollar reserve status, and expectations of timely debt-ceiling resolutions despite elevated deficits near 7-8% of GDP. Moody’s 2025 downgrade to Aa1 completed the shift away from AAA across the big three agencies, with current outlooks signaling limited near-term downside risk. The debt limit, raised to $41.1 trillion in 2025, is projected to bind only in 2027, keeping immediate brinkmanship pressures outside the market window. Persistent fiscal imbalances and interest costs remain watchpoints, yet agencies have not signaled further action absent sharper deterioration.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States' long-term sovereign credit letter rating is downgraded by any of the three major credit rating agencies (S&P, Moody's, Fitch) at any point by December 31, 2026 11:59pm ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Standard & Poor's, Moody's, or Fitch, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Standard & Poor's, Moody's, or Fitch, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
マーケット開始日： Nov 5, 2025, 2:56 PM ET
音量
$13,246終了日
2027/01/01マーケット開始日
Nov 5, 2025, 2:56 PM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States' long-term sovereign credit letter rating is downgraded by any of the three major credit rating agencies (S&P, Moody's, Fitch) at any point by December 31, 2026 11:59pm ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Standard & Poor's, Moody's, or Fitch, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Recent affirmations by major rating agencies underpin the strong trader consensus against another U.S. sovereign downgrade before 2027. Fitch and S&P both reaffirmed their AA+ ratings with stable outlooks in 2026, citing the economy’s resilience, dollar reserve status, and expectations of timely debt-ceiling resolutions despite elevated deficits near 7-8% of GDP. Moody’s 2025 downgrade to Aa1 completed the shift away from AAA across the big three agencies, with current outlooks signaling limited near-term downside risk. The debt limit, raised to $41.1 trillion in 2025, is projected to bind only in 2027, keeping immediate brinkmanship pressures outside the market window. Persistent fiscal imbalances and interest costs remain watchpoints, yet agencies have not signaled further action absent sharper deterioration.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States' long-term sovereign credit letter rating is downgraded by any of the three major credit rating agencies (S&P, Moody's, Fitch) at any point by December 31, 2026 11:59pm ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Standard & Poor's, Moody's, or Fitch, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Standard & Poor's, Moody's, or Fitch, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
音量
$13,246終了日
2027/01/01マーケット開始日
Nov 5, 2025, 2:56 PM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...Recent affirmations by major rating agencies underpin the strong trader consensus against another U.S. sovereign downgrade before 2027. Fitch and S&P both reaffirmed their AA+ ratings with stable outlooks in 2026, citing the economy’s resilience, dollar reserve status, and expectations of timely debt-ceiling resolutions despite elevated deficits near 7-8% of GDP. Moody’s 2025 downgrade to Aa1 completed the shift away from AAA across the big three agencies, with current outlooks signaling limited near-term downside risk. The debt limit, raised to $41.1 trillion in 2025, is projected to bind only in 2027, keeping immediate brinkmanship pressures outside the market window. Persistent fiscal imbalances and interest costs remain watchpoints, yet agencies have not signaled further action absent sharper deterioration.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
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