The Bank of Canada’s decision to hold its policy rate at 2.25% through the July 2026 announcement reflects a policy stance balancing cooling inflation against modest economic recovery. June CPI eased to 2.8% year-over-year from 3.2% in May, driven by lower gasoline prices after the temporary energy shock from Middle East developments, while core measures (median and trimmed-mean) fell to multi-year lows near 1.8-1.9%. The July Monetary Policy Report highlighted broadening growth sources and below-capacity output, yet projected 2026 GDP expansion at 2.75% amid lingering geopolitical uncertainty. With inflation converging toward the 2% target and no immediate need for stimulus or tightening, trader consensus—reflected in the 84.9% implied probability of no change for the October 28 meeting—centers on a continued pause. Key upcoming catalysts include the September 2 decision and fresh CPI and labor data that could shift rate-path expectations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日変更なし 84.9%
25ベーシスポイント引き上げ 8.4%
25ベーシスポイント引き下げ 7.1%
50ベーシスポイント以上の引き上げ <1%
$35,077 Vol.
$35,077 Vol.
2026/10/28
50ベーシスポイント以上の引き上げ
<1%
25ベーシスポイント引き上げ
8%
変更なし
85%
25ベーシスポイント引き下げ
7%
50ベーシスポイント以上の引き下げ
<1%
変更なし 84.9%
25ベーシスポイント引き上げ 8.4%
25ベーシスポイント引き下げ 7.1%
50ベーシスポイント以上の引き上げ <1%
$35,077 Vol.
$35,077 Vol.
2026/10/28
50ベーシスポイント以上の引き上げ
$2,980 Vol.
<1%
25ベーシスポイント引き上げ
$7,891 Vol.
8%
変更なし
$15,185 Vol.
85%
25ベーシスポイント引き下げ
$5,818 Vol.
7%
50ベーシスポイント以上の引き下げ
$3,202 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the target for the overnight rate resulting from the October 2026 interest rate announcement of the Bank of Canada, relative to the level it was prior to this announcement.
The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Canada, including the statement or release from its October 2026 interest rate announcement, scheduled for October 28, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Canada calendar (https://www.bankofcanada.ca/core-functions/monetary-policy/key-interest-rate/#target-dates). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Canada resulting from its October 2026 interest rate decision with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Increase” or “Decrease” will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
If the specified announcement is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled announcement, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed announcement. If the specified announcement is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled announcement, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified announcement will not be considered.The Bank of Canada’s decision to hold its policy rate at 2.25% through the July 2026 announcement reflects a policy stance balancing cooling inflation against modest economic recovery. June CPI eased to 2.8% year-over-year from 3.2% in May, driven by lower gasoline prices after the temporary energy shock from Middle East developments, while core measures (median and trimmed-mean) fell to multi-year lows near 1.8-1.9%. The July Monetary Policy Report highlighted broadening growth sources and below-capacity output, yet projected 2026 GDP expansion at 2.75% amid lingering geopolitical uncertainty. With inflation converging toward the 2% target and no immediate need for stimulus or tightening, trader consensus—reflected in the 84.9% implied probability of no change for the October 28 meeting—centers on a continued pause. Key upcoming catalysts include the September 2 decision and fresh CPI and labor data that could shift rate-path expectations.
This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the target for the overnight rate resulting from the October 2026 interest rate announcement of the Bank of Canada, relative to the level it was prior to this announcement.
The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Canada, including the statement or release from its October 2026 interest rate announcement, scheduled for October 28, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Canada calendar (https://www.bankofcanada.ca/core-functions/monetary-policy/key-interest-rate/#target-dates). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Canada resulting from its October 2026 interest rate decision with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Increase” or “Decrease” will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
If the specified announcement is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled announcement, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed announcement. If the specified announcement is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled announcement, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified announcement will not be considered.
The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Canada, including the statement or release from its October 2026 interest rate announcement, scheduled for October 28, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Canada calendar (https://www.bankofcanada.ca/core-functions/monetary-policy/key-interest-rate/#target-dates). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Canada resulting from its October 2026 interest rate decision with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Increase” or “Decrease” will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
If the specified announcement is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled announcement, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed announcement. If the specified announcement is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled announcement, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified announcement will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Jul 15, 2026, 9:50 PM ET
音量
$35,077終了日
2026/10/28マーケット開始日
Jul 15, 2026, 9:50 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the target for the overnight rate resulting from the October 2026 interest rate announcement of the Bank of Canada, relative to the level it was prior to this announcement.
The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Canada, including the statement or release from its October 2026 interest rate announcement, scheduled for October 28, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Canada calendar (https://www.bankofcanada.ca/core-functions/monetary-policy/key-interest-rate/#target-dates). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Canada resulting from its October 2026 interest rate decision with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Increase” or “Decrease” will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
If the specified announcement is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled announcement, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed announcement. If the specified announcement is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled announcement, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified announcement will not be considered.The Bank of Canada’s decision to hold its policy rate at 2.25% through the July 2026 announcement reflects a policy stance balancing cooling inflation against modest economic recovery. June CPI eased to 2.8% year-over-year from 3.2% in May, driven by lower gasoline prices after the temporary energy shock from Middle East developments, while core measures (median and trimmed-mean) fell to multi-year lows near 1.8-1.9%. The July Monetary Policy Report highlighted broadening growth sources and below-capacity output, yet projected 2026 GDP expansion at 2.75% amid lingering geopolitical uncertainty. With inflation converging toward the 2% target and no immediate need for stimulus or tightening, trader consensus—reflected in the 84.9% implied probability of no change for the October 28 meeting—centers on a continued pause. Key upcoming catalysts include the September 2 decision and fresh CPI and labor data that could shift rate-path expectations.
This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the target for the overnight rate resulting from the October 2026 interest rate announcement of the Bank of Canada, relative to the level it was prior to this announcement.
The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Canada, including the statement or release from its October 2026 interest rate announcement, scheduled for October 28, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Canada calendar (https://www.bankofcanada.ca/core-functions/monetary-policy/key-interest-rate/#target-dates). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Canada resulting from its October 2026 interest rate decision with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Increase” or “Decrease” will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
If the specified announcement is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled announcement, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed announcement. If the specified announcement is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled announcement, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified announcement will not be considered.
The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Canada, including the statement or release from its October 2026 interest rate announcement, scheduled for October 28, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Canada calendar (https://www.bankofcanada.ca/core-functions/monetary-policy/key-interest-rate/#target-dates). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Canada resulting from its October 2026 interest rate decision with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Increase” or “Decrease” will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
If the specified announcement is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled announcement, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed announcement. If the specified announcement is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled announcement, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified announcement will not be considered.
音量
$35,077終了日
2026/10/28マーケット開始日
Jul 15, 2026, 9:50 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Bank of Canada’s decision to hold its policy rate at 2.25% through the July 2026 announcement reflects a policy stance balancing cooling inflation against modest economic recovery. June CPI eased to 2.8% year-over-year from 3.2% in May, driven by lower gasoline prices after the temporary energy shock from Middle East developments, while core measures (median and trimmed-mean) fell to multi-year lows near 1.8-1.9%. The July Monetary Policy Report highlighted broadening growth sources and below-capacity output, yet projected 2026 GDP expansion at 2.75% amid lingering geopolitical uncertainty. With inflation converging toward the 2% target and no immediate need for stimulus or tightening, trader consensus—reflected in the 84.9% implied probability of no change for the October 28 meeting—centers on a continued pause. Key upcoming catalysts include the September 2 decision and fresh CPI and labor data that could shift rate-path expectations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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