Recent private funding rounds have driven Databricks' valuation from $134 billion in February 2026 to $190 billion in mid-August 2026, reflecting robust AI and data platform demand alongside 65% year-over-year revenue growth to a $5.4–7 billion run rate. CEO comments in June noting a "terrible year to go public" due to an oversaturated IPO calendar, combined with no S-1 filing as of August 2026, have elevated the market-implied odds of no IPO by December 31, 2027, to 62.5%. These factors outweigh near-term catalysts like potential H2 2026 filings, leaving lower-probability market-cap buckets clustered around 33–40% amid uncertainty over public-market validation of private marks and broader equity issuance conditions.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日1,500億ドル〜2,000億ドル 94%
2,500億ドル〜3,000億ドル 94%
1500億ドル未満 93%
4,000億ドル〜4,500億ドル 93%
新規
新規
2027/12/31
1500億ドル未満
93%
1,500億ドル〜2,000億ドル
94%
2,000億ドル～2,500億ドル
92%
2,500億ドル〜3,000億ドル
94%
3,000億ドル～3,500億ドル
91%
3,500億ドル～4,000億ドル
89%
4,000億ドル〜4,500億ドル
93%
4,500億ドル以上
88%
2027年12月31日までにIPOなし
63%
1,500億ドル〜2,000億ドル 94%
2,500億ドル〜3,000億ドル 94%
1500億ドル未満 93%
4,000億ドル〜4,500億ドル 93%
新規
新規
2027/12/31
1500億ドル未満
$0 Vol.
93%
1,500億ドル〜2,000億ドル
$0 Vol.
94%
2,000億ドル～2,500億ドル
$18 Vol.
92%
2,500億ドル〜3,000億ドル
$18 Vol.
94%
3,000億ドル～3,500億ドル
$18 Vol.
91%
3,500億ドル～4,000億ドル
$18 Vol.
89%
4,000億ドル〜4,500億ドル
$0 Vol.
93%
4,500億ドル以上
$0 Vol.
88%
2027年12月31日までにIPOなし
$172 Vol.
63%
This market will resolve based on Databricks's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.Recent private funding rounds have driven Databricks' valuation from $134 billion in February 2026 to $190 billion in mid-August 2026, reflecting robust AI and data platform demand alongside 65% year-over-year revenue growth to a $5.4–7 billion run rate. CEO comments in June noting a "terrible year to go public" due to an oversaturated IPO calendar, combined with no S-1 filing as of August 2026, have elevated the market-implied odds of no IPO by December 31, 2027, to 62.5%. These factors outweigh near-term catalysts like potential H2 2026 filings, leaving lower-probability market-cap buckets clustered around 33–40% amid uncertainty over public-market validation of private marks and broader equity issuance conditions.
This market will resolve based on Databricks's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
マーケット開始日： Jun 30, 2026, 10:07 PM ET
音量
$244終了日
2027/12/31マーケット開始日
Jun 30, 2026, 10:07 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on Databricks's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.Recent private funding rounds have driven Databricks' valuation from $134 billion in February 2026 to $190 billion in mid-August 2026, reflecting robust AI and data platform demand alongside 65% year-over-year revenue growth to a $5.4–7 billion run rate. CEO comments in June noting a "terrible year to go public" due to an oversaturated IPO calendar, combined with no S-1 filing as of August 2026, have elevated the market-implied odds of no IPO by December 31, 2027, to 62.5%. These factors outweigh near-term catalysts like potential H2 2026 filings, leaving lower-probability market-cap buckets clustered around 33–40% amid uncertainty over public-market validation of private marks and broader equity issuance conditions.
This market will resolve based on Databricks's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
音量
$244終了日
2027/12/31マーケット開始日
Jun 30, 2026, 10:07 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent private funding rounds have driven Databricks' valuation from $134 billion in February 2026 to $190 billion in mid-August 2026, reflecting robust AI and data platform demand alongside 65% year-over-year revenue growth to a $5.4–7 billion run rate. CEO comments in June noting a "terrible year to go public" due to an oversaturated IPO calendar, combined with no S-1 filing as of August 2026, have elevated the market-implied odds of no IPO by December 31, 2027, to 62.5%. These factors outweigh near-term catalysts like potential H2 2026 filings, leaving lower-probability market-cap buckets clustered around 33–40% amid uncertainty over public-market validation of private marks and broader equity issuance conditions.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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外部リンクに注意してください。
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