Florida's 11th congressional district maintains a strong Republican lean based on its partisan voting index and historical results, keeping the GOP nominee positioned as the clear frontrunner for the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Representative Daniel Webster's retirement has created an open seat, prompting a crowded Republican primary set for August 18 that includes multiple declared candidates such as Steve Farley, Ivette Palomo, Tim Wilkins, and Mike Wilnau. On the Democratic side, the primary field remains limited, with Ralph Groves among the few general election contenders. Cook Political Report rates the race Solid Republican, reflecting structural advantages that have held through recent redistricting and primary filing deadlines approaching in June.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$18,333 Vol.
$18,333 Vol.
共和党
83%
民主党
15%
$18,333 Vol.
$18,333 Vol.
共和党
83%
民主党
15%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日: Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Florida's 11th congressional district maintains a strong Republican lean based on its partisan voting index and historical results, keeping the GOP nominee positioned as the clear frontrunner for the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Representative Daniel Webster's retirement has created an open seat, prompting a crowded Republican primary set for August 18 that includes multiple declared candidates such as Steve Farley, Ivette Palomo, Tim Wilkins, and Mike Wilnau. On the Democratic side, the primary field remains limited, with Ralph Groves among the few general election contenders. Cook Political Report rates the race Solid Republican, reflecting structural advantages that have held through recent redistricting and primary filing deadlines approaching in June.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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