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icon for FL -24民主党予備選挙優勝者

FL -24民主党予備選挙優勝者

icon for FL -24民主党予備選挙優勝者

FL -24民主党予備選挙優勝者

オリバー・ギルバート 67%

シェブリン・ジョーンズ 35%

マーシャル・デイビス・シニア 11%

ケンドリック・ミーク・ジュニア 11%

Polymarket
新規

オリバー・ギルバート 67%

シェブリン・ジョーンズ 35%

マーシャル・デイビス・シニア 11%

ケンドリック・ミーク・ジュニア 11%

Polymarket
新規

オリバー・ギルバート

$0 Vol.

67%

シェブリン・ジョーンズ

$0 Vol.

35%

マーシャル・デイビス・シニア

$0 Vol.

11%

ケンドリック・ミーク・ジュニア

$0 Vol.

11%

ルディ・モワーズ

$0 Vol.

11%

ロデリック・ヴェリーン

$0 Vol.

11%

ジャン・モネスティム

$37 Vol.

11%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.The crowded field in Florida's 24th Congressional District Democratic primary has produced evenly matched probabilities because no single candidate has consolidated support following incumbent Frederica Wilson's April 2026 retirement announcement. Multiple local officeholders and business figures, including former Miami Gardens mayor Oliver Gilbert III, state Sen. Shevrin Jones, and Jean Monestime, each bring established name recognition and fundraising networks across northern Miami-Dade and southern Broward. Recent candidate forums have centered on shared priorities such as housing costs and economic pressures without clear differentiation. With the August primary still weeks away and vote fragmentation likely in this heavily Democratic open-seat contest, trader consensus reflects the absence of polling leads or decisive endorsements that could shift momentum toward any contender.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
音量
$37
終了日
2026/08/18
マーケット開始日
Jul 26, 2026, 4:51 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.The crowded field in Florida's 24th Congressional District Democratic primary has produced evenly matched probabilities because no single candidate has consolidated support following incumbent Frederica Wilson's April 2026 retirement announcement. Multiple local officeholders and business figures, including former Miami Gardens mayor Oliver Gilbert III, state Sen. Shevrin Jones, and Jean Monestime, each bring established name recognition and fundraising networks across northern Miami-Dade and southern Broward. Recent candidate forums have centered on shared priorities such as housing costs and economic pressures without clear differentiation. With the August primary still weeks away and vote fragmentation likely in this heavily Democratic open-seat contest, trader consensus reflects the absence of polling leads or decisive endorsements that could shift momentum toward any contender.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
音量
$37
終了日
2026/08/18
マーケット開始日
Jul 26, 2026, 4:51 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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よくある質問

「FL -24民主党予備選挙優勝者」はPolymarket上の7個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「オリバー・ギルバート」で67%、次いで「シェブリン・ジョーンズ」が35%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、67¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に67%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「FL -24民主党予備選挙優勝者」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です(Jul 26, 2026開始)。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「FL -24民主党予備選挙優勝者」で取引するには、このページに記載されている7個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「FL -24民主党予備選挙優勝者」の現在のフロントランナーは「オリバー・ギルバート」で67%であり、市場がこの結果に67%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「シェブリン・ジョーンズ」で35%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「FL -24民主党予備選挙優勝者」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。