Recent National Weather Service forecasts point to a high near 97°F in Austin on June 28 under mostly sunny skies with southerly flow, aligning with the market’s tight clustering around 94–97°F outcomes. Persistent high pressure and above-average Gulf moisture are limiting stronger heating while keeping heat indices elevated, consistent with late-June climatology where daily highs average 93–95°F. Model consensus shows limited day-to-day variability this close to the event, with only modest afternoon mixing or cloud cover likely to trim the peak by a degree or two. Traders appear to weigh these stable guidance trends heavily against the small chance of slightly stronger subsidence pushing readings into the upper 90s.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Austin on June 28?
94-95°F 68%
96-97°F 30%
98-99°F 3.8%
92-93°F 2.7%
$32,004 Vol.
$32,004 Vol.
89°F or below
1%
90-91°F
1%
92-93°F
3%
94-95°F
68%
96-97°F
30%
98-99°F
4%
100-101°F
1%
102-103°F
<1%
104-105°F
<1%
106-107°F
<1%
108°F or higher
<1%
94-95°F 68%
96-97°F 30%
98-99°F 3.8%
92-93°F 2.7%
$32,004 Vol.
$32,004 Vol.
89°F or below
1%
90-91°F
1%
92-93°F
3%
94-95°F
68%
96-97°F
30%
98-99°F
4%
100-101°F
1%
102-103°F
<1%
104-105°F
<1%
106-107°F
<1%
108°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Jun 26, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent National Weather Service forecasts point to a high near 97°F in Austin on June 28 under mostly sunny skies with southerly flow, aligning with the market’s tight clustering around 94–97°F outcomes. Persistent high pressure and above-average Gulf moisture are limiting stronger heating while keeping heat indices elevated, consistent with late-June climatology where daily highs average 93–95°F. Model consensus shows limited day-to-day variability this close to the event, with only modest afternoon mixing or cloud cover likely to trim the peak by a degree or two. Traders appear to weigh these stable guidance trends heavily against the small chance of slightly stronger subsidence pushing readings into the upper 90s.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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