Recent forecasts from Argentina’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional show a daytime maximum near 14°C at the official Ministro Pistarini station under partly cloudy skies and moderate southerly flow. This cooler post-frontal air mass has suppressed temperatures 2–3°C below the May climatological average of 17–18°C, anchoring the overwhelming market-implied probability on the 14°C outcome. Historical analogs for mid-May in Buenos Aires confirm that such southerly advection after frontal passages reliably caps highs in this narrow range, with minimal upward revision risk once the day is underway. Only an unexpected late-day warming trend or station measurement adjustment could realistically shift the final recorded high, though current observational data and model consensus make such deviations highly improbable.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日5月17日のブエノスアイレスの最高気温は?
14°C 100.0%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$38,307 Vol.
$38,307 Vol.
14°C
100%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
14°C 100.0%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$38,307 Vol.
$38,307 Vol.
14°C
100%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Recent forecasts from Argentina’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional show a daytime maximum near 14°C at the official Ministro Pistarini station under partly cloudy skies and moderate southerly flow. This cooler post-frontal air mass has suppressed temperatures 2–3°C below the May climatological average of 17–18°C, anchoring the overwhelming market-implied probability on the 14°C outcome. Historical analogs for mid-May in Buenos Aires confirm that such southerly advection after frontal passages reliably caps highs in this narrow range, with minimal upward revision risk once the day is underway. Only an unexpected late-day warming trend or station measurement adjustment could realistically shift the final recorded high, though current observational data and model consensus make such deviations highly improbable.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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