The closely matched leading probabilities for 18°C and 19°C reflect substantial uncertainty in short-range ensemble forecasts for Buenos Aires on May 19, as global models such as ECMWF and GFS continue to show daily highs oscillating within a narrow 2–3°C band amid typical autumn transition patterns. A transient high-pressure ridge has recently suppressed cloud cover and allowed modest daytime warming, while variable southeasterly flow from the Río de la Plata may introduce marine influence that caps the peak. Official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance and updated model runs expected over the next 48 hours will likely tighten the range, with resolution hinging on whether observed maximum temperatures reach the 19°C threshold under prevailing clear-sky conditions.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日5月19日のブエノスアイレスの最高気温は?
18°C 27%
17°C 20%
19°C 20%
16°C 16%
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
2%
15°C
4%
16°C
16%
17°C
20%
18°C
27%
19°C
20%
20°C
7%
21℃以上
3%
18°C 27%
17°C 20%
19°C 20%
16°C 16%
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
2%
15°C
4%
16°C
16%
17°C
20%
18°C
27%
19°C
20%
20°C
7%
21℃以上
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: May 17, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The closely matched leading probabilities for 18°C and 19°C reflect substantial uncertainty in short-range ensemble forecasts for Buenos Aires on May 19, as global models such as ECMWF and GFS continue to show daily highs oscillating within a narrow 2–3°C band amid typical autumn transition patterns. A transient high-pressure ridge has recently suppressed cloud cover and allowed modest daytime warming, while variable southeasterly flow from the Río de la Plata may introduce marine influence that caps the peak. Official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance and updated model runs expected over the next 48 hours will likely tighten the range, with resolution hinging on whether observed maximum temperatures reach the 19°C threshold under prevailing clear-sky conditions.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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