**Trader consensus has converged on 86-87°F as the definitive outcome for Denver’s highest temperature on August 14, 2026, reflecting the official maximum recorded at the market’s designated station (typically Buckley Space Force Base or a comparable NWS site).** National Weather Service climatological data confirm this peak occurred midday under partly sunny conditions with limited afternoon instability and no significant convective cooling, aligning precisely with the bin while staying below the normal high of 88°F and well under summer extremes. Recent model runs and post-event verification provided the decisive update that eliminated nearby bins. The only realistic challenges would involve a rare station-specific revision, differing measurement protocols, or an unrecorded micro-climate spike—none of which have materialized in official reporting. This skin-in-the-game pricing demonstrates how real-money markets efficiently aggregate verified observational data once the event concludes.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月14日のデンバーの最高気温は？
8月14日のデンバーの最高気温は？
86〜87°F 100.0%
69°F以下 <1%
70〜71°F <1%
72〜73°F <1%
$27,247 Vol.
$27,247 Vol.
2026/08/14
69°F以下
いいえ
70〜71°F
いいえ
72〜73°F
いいえ
74〜75°F
いいえ
76〜77°F
いいえ
78～79°F
いいえ
80～81°F
いいえ
82〜83°F
いいえ
84～85°F
いいえ
86〜87°F
はい
88°F以上
いいえ
86〜87°F 100.0%
69°F以下 <1%
70〜71°F <1%
72〜73°F <1%
$27,247 Vol.
$27,247 Vol.
2026/08/14
69°F以下
$611 Vol.
いいえ
70〜71°F
$781 Vol.
いいえ
72〜73°F
$964 Vol.
いいえ
74〜75°F
$707 Vol.
いいえ
76〜77°F
$2,237 Vol.
いいえ
78～79°F
$2,661 Vol.
いいえ
80～81°F
$3,386 Vol.
いいえ
82〜83°F
$3,073 Vol.
いいえ
84～85°F
$4,010 Vol.
いいえ
86〜87°F
$5,191 Vol.
はい
88°F以上
$3,625 Vol.
いいえ
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus has converged on 86-87°F as the definitive outcome for Denver’s highest temperature on August 14, 2026, reflecting the official maximum recorded at the market’s designated station (typically Buckley Space Force Base or a comparable NWS site).**
National Weather Service climatological data confirm this peak occurred midday under partly sunny conditions with limited afternoon instability and no significant convective cooling, aligning precisely with the bin while staying below the normal high of 88°F and well under summer extremes. Recent model runs and post-event verification provided the decisive update that eliminated nearby bins. The only realistic challenges would involve a rare station-specific revision, differing measurement protocols, or an unrecorded micro-climate spike—none of which have materialized in official reporting. This skin-in-the-game pricing demonstrates how real-money markets efficiently aggregate verified observational data once the event concludes.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 12, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
音量
$27,247終了日
2026/08/14マーケット開始日
Aug 12, 2026, 8:56 PM ET提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus has converged on 86-87°F as the definitive outcome for Denver’s highest temperature on August 14, 2026, reflecting the official maximum recorded at the market’s designated station (typically Buckley Space Force Base or a comparable NWS site).**
National Weather Service climatological data confirm this peak occurred midday under partly sunny conditions with limited afternoon instability and no significant convective cooling, aligning precisely with the bin while staying below the normal high of 88°F and well under summer extremes. Recent model runs and post-event verification provided the decisive update that eliminated nearby bins. The only realistic challenges would involve a rare station-specific revision, differing measurement protocols, or an unrecorded micro-climate spike—none of which have materialized in official reporting. This skin-in-the-game pricing demonstrates how real-money markets efficiently aggregate verified observational data once the event concludes.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$27,247終了日
2026/08/14マーケット開始日
Aug 12, 2026, 8:56 PM ET提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
**Trader consensus has converged on 86-87°F as the definitive outcome for Denver’s highest temperature on August 14, 2026, reflecting the official maximum recorded at the market’s designated station (typically Buckley Space Force Base or a comparable NWS site).** National Weather Service climatological data confirm this peak occurred midday under partly sunny conditions with limited afternoon instability and no significant convective cooling, aligning precisely with the bin while staying below the normal high of 88°F and well under summer extremes. Recent model runs and post-event verification provided the decisive update that eliminated nearby bins. The only realistic challenges would involve a rare station-specific revision, differing measurement protocols, or an unrecorded micro-climate spike—none of which have materialized in official reporting. This skin-in-the-game pricing demonstrates how real-money markets efficiently aggregate verified observational data once the event concludes.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問