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icon for 5月18日の香港の最高気温は？

5月18日の香港の最高気温は？

icon for 5月18日の香港の最高気温は？

5月18日の香港の最高気温は？

5月 15

5月 16

5月 17

5月 18

5月 15

5月 16

5月 17

5月 18

27°C 47%

26℃ 26%

28°C 22%

25℃ 3.0%

Polymarket
新規

$81,181 Vol.

27°C 47%

26℃ 26%

28°C 22%

25℃ 3.0%

Polymarket
新規

$81,181 Vol.

21℃以下

$5,221 Vol.

<1%

22℃

$3,756 Vol.

<1%

23℃

$14,385 Vol.

<1%

24°C

$8,191 Vol.

<1%

25℃

$7,786 Vol.

3%

26℃

$7,593 Vol.

26%

27°C

$5,283 Vol.

47%

28°C

$4,882 Vol.

22%

29°C

$9,428 Vol.

3%

30℃

$5,828 Vol.

1%

31°C以上

$8,888 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and supporting international models point to a daytime maximum of 27–28°C on May 18, driven by a subtropical ridge that maintains partly cloudy skies and limits intense solar heating under moderate easterly flow. This setup produces a modest cooling anomaly relative to the May climatological average of 28–30°C, positioning the 27°C outcome at 46 percent implied probability as the clear market favorite. Recent model runs show minimal divergence on these thresholds, with no significant moisture influx or wind shift expected to push readings higher. Traders are therefore concentrating capital around the 26–28°C range, reflecting the narrow uncertainty band in official guidance ahead of the day’s final observational data.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$81,181
終了日
2026/05/18
マーケット開始日
May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and supporting international models point to a daytime maximum of 27–28°C on May 18, driven by a subtropical ridge that maintains partly cloudy skies and limits intense solar heating under moderate easterly flow. This setup produces a modest cooling anomaly relative to the May climatological average of 28–30°C, positioning the 27°C outcome at 46 percent implied probability as the clear market favorite. Recent model runs show minimal divergence on these thresholds, with no significant moisture influx or wind shift expected to push readings higher. Traders are therefore concentrating capital around the 26–28°C range, reflecting the narrow uncertainty band in official guidance ahead of the day’s final observational data.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$81,181
終了日
2026/05/18
マーケット開始日
May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「5月18日の香港の最高気温は？」はPolymarket上の11個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「27°C」で47%、次いで「26℃」が26%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、47¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に47%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「5月18日の香港の最高気温は？」は$81.2Kの総取引量を生み出しています（May 16, 2026のマーケット開始以来）。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「5月18日の香港の最高気温は？」で取引するには、このページに記載されている11個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「5月18日の香港の最高気温は？」の現在のフロントランナーは「27°C」で47%であり、市場がこの結果に47%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「26℃」で26%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「5月18日の香港の最高気温は？」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。