**Recent IMD forecasts project a maximum of 36°C for Lucknow on September 20 under mainly clear skies, yet market odds favor 33–34°C as the leading outcomes.** This reflects trader weighting of ensemble model consensus showing persistent monsoon moisture, scattered afternoon thunderstorms, and elevated humidity that could cap daytime peaks below official guidance. With the southwest monsoon withdrawing from northwest India around September 19, steering patterns and cloud cover remain key variables that historical September analogs indicate often suppress maximum temperatures by 1–3°C. Next IMD bulletins and updated numerical weather prediction runs will likely drive any shifts in implied probabilities before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月20日のラクナウの最高気温は?
33℃ 36%
34℃ 32%
32°C 29%
35°C 21%
28℃以下
<1%
29℃
1%
30℃
3%
31℃
10%
32°C
29%
33℃
36%
34℃
32%
35°C
21%
36℃
17%
37°C
2%
38℃以上
<1%
33℃ 36%
34℃ 32%
32°C 29%
35°C 21%
28℃以下
<1%
29℃
1%
30℃
3%
31℃
10%
32°C
29%
33℃
36%
34℃
32%
35°C
21%
36℃
17%
37°C
2%
38℃以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Sep 18, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
**Recent IMD forecasts project a maximum of 36°C for Lucknow on September 20 under mainly clear skies, yet market odds favor 33–34°C as the leading outcomes.** This reflects trader weighting of ensemble model consensus showing persistent monsoon moisture, scattered afternoon thunderstorms, and elevated humidity that could cap daytime peaks below official guidance. With the southwest monsoon withdrawing from northwest India around September 19, steering patterns and cloud cover remain key variables that historical September analogs indicate often suppress maximum temperatures by 1–3°C. Next IMD bulletins and updated numerical weather prediction runs will likely drive any shifts in implied probabilities before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問