Recent numerical weather prediction ensembles, including GFS and ECMWF runs, converge on a daytime maximum of 23–24°C in Munich on September 20 under partly cloudy skies and moderate westerly flow. This places those outcomes at the center of trader consensus, with combined implied probability near 68%. The forecast sits several degrees above the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 19.1°C, supported by stable high pressure and minimal cloud cover or precipitation risk that limits cooling. Model agreement has held steady in the latest updates, though small timing differences in peak afternoon readings introduce modest uncertainty around exact resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月20日のミュンヘンの最高気温は？
9月20日のミュンヘンの最高気温は？
24℃ 40%
23°C 29%
26℃ 19%
25℃ 18%
新規
新規
2026/09/20
18℃以下
2%
19℃
2%
20°C
3%
21℃
7%
22°C
9%
23°C
29%
24℃
40%
25℃
18%
26℃
19%
27°C
3%
28℃以上
2%
24℃ 40%
23°C 29%
26℃ 19%
25℃ 18%
新規
新規
2026/09/20
18℃以下
$0 Vol.
2%
19℃
$0 Vol.
2%
20°C
$0 Vol.
3%
21℃
$0 Vol.
7%
22°C
$0 Vol.
9%
23°C
$0 Vol.
29%
24℃
$17 Vol.
40%
25℃
$126 Vol.
18%
26℃
$0 Vol.
19%
27°C
$0 Vol.
3%
28℃以上
$0 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction ensembles, including GFS and ECMWF runs, converge on a daytime maximum of 23–24°C in Munich on September 20 under partly cloudy skies and moderate westerly flow. This places those outcomes at the center of trader consensus, with combined implied probability near 68%. The forecast sits several degrees above the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 19.1°C, supported by stable high pressure and minimal cloud cover or precipitation risk that limits cooling. Model agreement has held steady in the latest updates, though small timing differences in peak afternoon readings introduce modest uncertainty around exact resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 18, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
音量
$140終了日
2026/09/20マーケット開始日
Sep 18, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction ensembles, including GFS and ECMWF runs, converge on a daytime maximum of 23–24°C in Munich on September 20 under partly cloudy skies and moderate westerly flow. This places those outcomes at the center of trader consensus, with combined implied probability near 68%. The forecast sits several degrees above the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 19.1°C, supported by stable high pressure and minimal cloud cover or precipitation risk that limits cooling. Model agreement has held steady in the latest updates, though small timing differences in peak afternoon readings introduce modest uncertainty around exact resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$140終了日
2026/09/20マーケット開始日
Sep 18, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRecent numerical weather prediction ensembles, including GFS and ECMWF runs, converge on a daytime maximum of 23–24°C in Munich on September 20 under partly cloudy skies and moderate westerly flow. This places those outcomes at the center of trader consensus, with combined implied probability near 68%. The forecast sits several degrees above the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 19.1°C, supported by stable high pressure and minimal cloud cover or precipitation risk that limits cooling. Model agreement has held steady in the latest updates, though small timing differences in peak afternoon readings introduce modest uncertainty around exact resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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