**Trader consensus has locked onto 24°C as the highest temperature in São Paulo on August 12, 2026, reflecting official maximum observations from surface stations aligning precisely with that threshold.** Late-winter subtropical high pressure has maintained clear to partly cloudy skies, allowing daytime insolation to push readings into the low-to-mid 20s Celsius while limiting convective cooling. Regional models and climatological baselines for August (typical maxima 23–25°C) support this outcome, with boundary-layer mixing and light winds preventing significant departures. The 100% implied probability indicates minimal remaining uncertainty once final verified data are incorporated. Only station-specific discrepancies or unverified post-processing adjustments could realistically alter the recorded peak.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月12日のサンパウロの最高気温は?
24°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$61,614 Vol.
$61,614 Vol.
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
100%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
24°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$61,614 Vol.
$61,614 Vol.
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
100%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 10, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
**Trader consensus has locked onto 24°C as the highest temperature in São Paulo on August 12, 2026, reflecting official maximum observations from surface stations aligning precisely with that threshold.** Late-winter subtropical high pressure has maintained clear to partly cloudy skies, allowing daytime insolation to push readings into the low-to-mid 20s Celsius while limiting convective cooling. Regional models and climatological baselines for August (typical maxima 23–25°C) support this outcome, with boundary-layer mixing and light winds preventing significant departures. The 100% implied probability indicates minimal remaining uncertainty once final verified data are incorporated. Only station-specific discrepancies or unverified post-processing adjustments could realistically alter the recorded peak.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日


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