Recent observational data and short-range forecast models from the Korea Meteorological Administration show Seoul on track for a daytime maximum of 25°C under clear skies and light southerly flow. This outcome aligns with mid-May climatology, where typical high-pressure dominance and modest solar heating produce highs in the mid-20s Celsius without strong warm-air advection. Market-implied odds reflect traders' assessment of these stable conditions, with minimal probability assigned to outliers because ensemble guidance shows little spread around the 25°C threshold. Resolution hinges on official station readings through the afternoon peak; a localized sea-breeze shift or brief cloud increase could trim the high by 1°C, while any unexpected strengthening of southerly winds would be required to push temperatures higher.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日5月17日のソウルの最高気温は?
25°C 100.0%
26°C or higher <1%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
$232,242 Vol.
$232,242 Vol.
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
100%
26°C or higher
<1%
25°C 100.0%
26°C or higher <1%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
$232,242 Vol.
$232,242 Vol.
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
100%
26°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Recent observational data and short-range forecast models from the Korea Meteorological Administration show Seoul on track for a daytime maximum of 25°C under clear skies and light southerly flow. This outcome aligns with mid-May climatology, where typical high-pressure dominance and modest solar heating produce highs in the mid-20s Celsius without strong warm-air advection. Market-implied odds reflect traders' assessment of these stable conditions, with minimal probability assigned to outliers because ensemble guidance shows little spread around the 25°C threshold. Resolution hinges on official station readings through the afternoon peak; a localized sea-breeze shift or brief cloud increase could trim the high by 1°C, while any unexpected strengthening of southerly winds would be required to push temperatures higher.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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