**Late August climatology and real-time forecast consensus drive the overwhelming market-implied odds (99.7%) for a daily maximum of 32°C or higher in Zhengzhou.** Historical normals place typical highs near 31°C this time of year amid humid subtropical conditions, while multiple model runs and official guidance for August 24, 2026, project afternoon peaks of 30–33°C under partly cloudy skies with scattered thunderstorms. High humidity and light winds limit rapid cooling, keeping the daily maximum firmly in the low-to-mid 30s°C range. Only an unanticipated surge of cooler northerly air or persistent heavy rain could drop readings below 32°C, though current atmospheric patterns make such a shift improbable before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月24日の鄭州の最高気温は?
32°C or higher 99.6%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
100%
32°C or higher 99.6%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
100%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 23, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
**Late August climatology and real-time forecast consensus drive the overwhelming market-implied odds (99.7%) for a daily maximum of 32°C or higher in Zhengzhou.** Historical normals place typical highs near 31°C this time of year amid humid subtropical conditions, while multiple model runs and official guidance for August 24, 2026, project afternoon peaks of 30–33°C under partly cloudy skies with scattered thunderstorms. High humidity and light winds limit rapid cooling, keeping the daily maximum firmly in the low-to-mid 30s°C range. Only an unanticipated surge of cooler northerly air or persistent heavy rain could drop readings below 32°C, though current atmospheric patterns make such a shift improbable before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日

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