Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a prolonged handshake of 15 seconds or more at 57.5% between President Trump and President Xi Jinping during their Beijing summit, driven by their recent 27-second greeting at the October 2025 APEC summit in Busan, South Korea, where they held a nearly two-hour bilateral meeting yielding positive trade outcomes. Trump's arrival in Beijing on May 13, 2026, accompanied by CEOs from Nvidia, Apple, Tesla, and others, signals intent to advance US business interests amid discussions on trade, Taiwan, and Iran, fostering expectations of warm diplomatic optics. Shorter durations trail as historical patterns show Trump's extended handshakes with world leaders, like Macron's 29 seconds, while no-handshake odds remain negligible given protocol norms. The market awaits filmed evidence from the bilateral meeting expected imminently.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日15秒以上 57%
10～15秒 22%
6～10秒 15%
2〜6秒 6.5%
$273,575 Vol.
$273,575 Vol.
2026/12/31
握手なし
3%
2秒未満
1%
2〜6秒
6%
6～10秒
15%
10～15秒
22%
15秒以上
57%
写真のみ
1%
15秒以上 57%
10～15秒 22%
6～10秒 15%
2〜6秒 6.5%
$273,575 Vol.
$273,575 Vol.
2026/12/31
握手なし
$54,981 Vol.
3%
2秒未満
$41,820 Vol.
1%
2〜6秒
$42,634 Vol.
6%
6～10秒
$20,815 Vol.
15%
10～15秒
$20,959 Vol.
22%
15秒以上
$50,187 Vol.
57%
写真のみ
$42,284 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the length of the longest filmed handshake between Donald Trump and Xi Jinping during the day of their next meeting in 2026 (in the local timezone of the location of their next meeting). Any handshake recorded on that date will qualify.
If no handshake occurs during the date of their next meeting, or if no meeting takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Handshake”.
If a handshake is photographed but not captured on video, this market will resolve to "Photographed only".
Duration will be measured from the exact moment their hands make initial physical contact until the exact moment either breaks contact.
If the measured duration falls exactly on the boundary between two duration brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Qualifying Requirements:
The handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person.
Direct hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens are permitted).
The handshake must be clearly visible on video from start to finish.
Non-qualifying examples:
Fist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings.
Any handshake that is too unclear to measure.
Only photographic evidence exists without a way to measure duration.
The resolution source will be video footage.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a prolonged handshake of 15 seconds or more at 57.5% between President Trump and President Xi Jinping during their Beijing summit, driven by their recent 27-second greeting at the October 2025 APEC summit in Busan, South Korea, where they held a nearly two-hour bilateral meeting yielding positive trade outcomes. Trump's arrival in Beijing on May 13, 2026, accompanied by CEOs from Nvidia, Apple, Tesla, and others, signals intent to advance US business interests amid discussions on trade, Taiwan, and Iran, fostering expectations of warm diplomatic optics. Shorter durations trail as historical patterns show Trump's extended handshakes with world leaders, like Macron's 29 seconds, while no-handshake odds remain negligible given protocol norms. The market awaits filmed evidence from the bilateral meeting expected imminently.
This market will resolve according to the length of the longest filmed handshake between Donald Trump and Xi Jinping during the day of their next meeting in 2026 (in the local timezone of the location of their next meeting). Any handshake recorded on that date will qualify.
If no handshake occurs during the date of their next meeting, or if no meeting takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Handshake”.
If a handshake is photographed but not captured on video, this market will resolve to "Photographed only".
Duration will be measured from the exact moment their hands make initial physical contact until the exact moment either breaks contact.
If the measured duration falls exactly on the boundary between two duration brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Qualifying Requirements:
The handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person.
Direct hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens are permitted).
The handshake must be clearly visible on video from start to finish.
Non-qualifying examples:
Fist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings.
Any handshake that is too unclear to measure.
Only photographic evidence exists without a way to measure duration.
The resolution source will be video footage.
If no handshake occurs during the date of their next meeting, or if no meeting takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Handshake”.
If a handshake is photographed but not captured on video, this market will resolve to "Photographed only".
Duration will be measured from the exact moment their hands make initial physical contact until the exact moment either breaks contact.
If the measured duration falls exactly on the boundary between two duration brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Qualifying Requirements:
The handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person.
Direct hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens are permitted).
The handshake must be clearly visible on video from start to finish.
Non-qualifying examples:
Fist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings.
Any handshake that is too unclear to measure.
Only photographic evidence exists without a way to measure duration.
The resolution source will be video footage.
マーケット開始日： Feb 10, 2026, 6:58 PM ET
音量
$273,575終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Feb 10, 2026, 6:58 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the length of the longest filmed handshake between Donald Trump and Xi Jinping during the day of their next meeting in 2026 (in the local timezone of the location of their next meeting). Any handshake recorded on that date will qualify.
If no handshake occurs during the date of their next meeting, or if no meeting takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Handshake”.
If a handshake is photographed but not captured on video, this market will resolve to "Photographed only".
Duration will be measured from the exact moment their hands make initial physical contact until the exact moment either breaks contact.
If the measured duration falls exactly on the boundary between two duration brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Qualifying Requirements:
The handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person.
Direct hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens are permitted).
The handshake must be clearly visible on video from start to finish.
Non-qualifying examples:
Fist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings.
Any handshake that is too unclear to measure.
Only photographic evidence exists without a way to measure duration.
The resolution source will be video footage.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a prolonged handshake of 15 seconds or more at 57.5% between President Trump and President Xi Jinping during their Beijing summit, driven by their recent 27-second greeting at the October 2025 APEC summit in Busan, South Korea, where they held a nearly two-hour bilateral meeting yielding positive trade outcomes. Trump's arrival in Beijing on May 13, 2026, accompanied by CEOs from Nvidia, Apple, Tesla, and others, signals intent to advance US business interests amid discussions on trade, Taiwan, and Iran, fostering expectations of warm diplomatic optics. Shorter durations trail as historical patterns show Trump's extended handshakes with world leaders, like Macron's 29 seconds, while no-handshake odds remain negligible given protocol norms. The market awaits filmed evidence from the bilateral meeting expected imminently.
This market will resolve according to the length of the longest filmed handshake between Donald Trump and Xi Jinping during the day of their next meeting in 2026 (in the local timezone of the location of their next meeting). Any handshake recorded on that date will qualify.
If no handshake occurs during the date of their next meeting, or if no meeting takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Handshake”.
If a handshake is photographed but not captured on video, this market will resolve to "Photographed only".
Duration will be measured from the exact moment their hands make initial physical contact until the exact moment either breaks contact.
If the measured duration falls exactly on the boundary between two duration brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Qualifying Requirements:
The handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person.
Direct hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens are permitted).
The handshake must be clearly visible on video from start to finish.
Non-qualifying examples:
Fist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings.
Any handshake that is too unclear to measure.
Only photographic evidence exists without a way to measure duration.
The resolution source will be video footage.
If no handshake occurs during the date of their next meeting, or if no meeting takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Handshake”.
If a handshake is photographed but not captured on video, this market will resolve to "Photographed only".
Duration will be measured from the exact moment their hands make initial physical contact until the exact moment either breaks contact.
If the measured duration falls exactly on the boundary between two duration brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Qualifying Requirements:
The handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person.
Direct hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens are permitted).
The handshake must be clearly visible on video from start to finish.
Non-qualifying examples:
Fist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings.
Any handshake that is too unclear to measure.
Only photographic evidence exists without a way to measure duration.
The resolution source will be video footage.
音量
$273,575終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Feb 10, 2026, 6:58 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a prolonged handshake of 15 seconds or more at 57.5% between President Trump and President Xi Jinping during their Beijing summit, driven by their recent 27-second greeting at the October 2025 APEC summit in Busan, South Korea, where they held a nearly two-hour bilateral meeting yielding positive trade outcomes. Trump's arrival in Beijing on May 13, 2026, accompanied by CEOs from Nvidia, Apple, Tesla, and others, signals intent to advance US business interests amid discussions on trade, Taiwan, and Iran, fostering expectations of warm diplomatic optics. Shorter durations trail as historical patterns show Trump's extended handshakes with world leaders, like Macron's 29 seconds, while no-handshake odds remain negligible given protocol norms. The market awaits filmed evidence from the bilateral meeting expected imminently.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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