Republican incumbent Mark Messmer, who secured 68% of the vote in 2024, faces Democrat Mary Allen in Indiana's 8th congressional district on November 3, 2026. The district, anchored in Evansville and extending through Terre Haute and other southwest and west-central areas, ranks as the state's most conservative and carries a Solid Republican rating from forecasters. Messmer ran unopposed in the Republican primary while Allen prevailed in a May 2026 Democratic primary with roughly two-thirds of the vote. Trader consensus at 96.8% for Republicans reflects the district's partisan composition, the incumbent's established margin, and the absence of recent events—such as scandals, redistricting shifts, or polling volatility—that would typically narrow the contest. A late-breaking national wave, major candidate-specific development, or unusually high Democratic turnout could still alter the outcome before Election Day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$41,116 Vol.
$41,116 Vol.
2026/11/02
共和党
97%
民主党
1%
$41,116 Vol.
$41,116 Vol.
2026/11/02
共和党
$25,971 Vol.
97%
民主党
$15,145 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IN-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Mark Messmer, who secured 68% of the vote in 2024, faces Democrat Mary Allen in Indiana's 8th congressional district on November 3, 2026. The district, anchored in Evansville and extending through Terre Haute and other southwest and west-central areas, ranks as the state's most conservative and carries a Solid Republican rating from forecasters. Messmer ran unopposed in the Republican primary while Allen prevailed in a May 2026 Democratic primary with roughly two-thirds of the vote. Trader consensus at 96.8% for Republicans reflects the district's partisan composition, the incumbent's established margin, and the absence of recent events—such as scandals, redistricting shifts, or polling volatility—that would typically narrow the contest. A late-breaking national wave, major candidate-specific development, or unusually high Democratic turnout could still alter the outcome before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IN-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
音量
$41,116終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IN-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Mark Messmer, who secured 68% of the vote in 2024, faces Democrat Mary Allen in Indiana's 8th congressional district on November 3, 2026. The district, anchored in Evansville and extending through Terre Haute and other southwest and west-central areas, ranks as the state's most conservative and carries a Solid Republican rating from forecasters. Messmer ran unopposed in the Republican primary while Allen prevailed in a May 2026 Democratic primary with roughly two-thirds of the vote. Trader consensus at 96.8% for Republicans reflects the district's partisan composition, the incumbent's established margin, and the absence of recent events—such as scandals, redistricting shifts, or polling volatility—that would typically narrow the contest. A late-breaking national wave, major candidate-specific development, or unusually high Democratic turnout could still alter the outcome before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IN-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$41,116終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican incumbent Mark Messmer, who secured 68% of the vote in 2024, faces Democrat Mary Allen in Indiana's 8th congressional district on November 3, 2026. The district, anchored in Evansville and extending through Terre Haute and other southwest and west-central areas, ranks as the state's most conservative and carries a Solid Republican rating from forecasters. Messmer ran unopposed in the Republican primary while Allen prevailed in a May 2026 Democratic primary with roughly two-thirds of the vote. Trader consensus at 96.8% for Republicans reflects the district's partisan composition, the incumbent's established margin, and the absence of recent events—such as scandals, redistricting shifts, or polling volatility—that would typically narrow the contest. A late-breaking national wave, major candidate-specific development, or unusually high Democratic turnout could still alter the outcome before Election Day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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