Recent polls place Gadi Eisenkot’s Yashar party at an average of roughly 22 seats, narrowly ahead of Likud, reflecting sustained but modest support for the centrist list ahead of the October 27 election. Trader pricing clusters around 24-25 seats because late-campaign dynamics remain fluid: surplus-vote pacts with the Democrats and competition from Bennett-Lapid’s Together and smaller right-wing lists could shift marginal votes, while ongoing security and economic concerns continue to erode the governing bloc. Recent surveys show small weekly swings of one to two seats, keeping outcomes in the low-to-mid 20s most probable while leaving room for modest upside or downside if turnout or last-minute alliances change.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日24〜25 36%
22～23 24%
26〜27 16%
20～21 9%
新規
新規
2026/11/30
20未満
8%
20～21
9%
22～23
25%
24〜25
36%
26〜27
16%
28〜29
6%
30以上
6%
24〜25 36%
22～23 24%
26〜27 16%
20～21 9%
新規
新規
2026/11/30
20未満
$249 Vol.
8%
20～21
$459 Vol.
9%
22～23
$819 Vol.
25%
24〜25
$875 Vol.
36%
26〜27
$715 Vol.
16%
28〜29
$318 Vol.
6%
30以上
$5,813 Vol.
6%
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Yashar in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Yashar contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yashar merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Yashar in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent polls place Gadi Eisenkot’s Yashar party at an average of roughly 22 seats, narrowly ahead of Likud, reflecting sustained but modest support for the centrist list ahead of the October 27 election. Trader pricing clusters around 24-25 seats because late-campaign dynamics remain fluid: surplus-vote pacts with the Democrats and competition from Bennett-Lapid’s Together and smaller right-wing lists could shift marginal votes, while ongoing security and economic concerns continue to erode the governing bloc. Recent surveys show small weekly swings of one to two seats, keeping outcomes in the low-to-mid 20s most probable while leaving room for modest upside or downside if turnout or last-minute alliances change.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Yashar in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Yashar contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yashar merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Yashar in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Yashar in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Yashar contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yashar merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Yashar in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
マーケット開始日： Sep 4, 2026, 6:17 PM ET
音量
$9,249終了日
2026/11/30マーケット開始日
Sep 4, 2026, 6:17 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Yashar in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Yashar contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yashar merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Yashar in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent polls place Gadi Eisenkot’s Yashar party at an average of roughly 22 seats, narrowly ahead of Likud, reflecting sustained but modest support for the centrist list ahead of the October 27 election. Trader pricing clusters around 24-25 seats because late-campaign dynamics remain fluid: surplus-vote pacts with the Democrats and competition from Bennett-Lapid’s Together and smaller right-wing lists could shift marginal votes, while ongoing security and economic concerns continue to erode the governing bloc. Recent surveys show small weekly swings of one to two seats, keeping outcomes in the low-to-mid 20s most probable while leaving room for modest upside or downside if turnout or last-minute alliances change.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Yashar in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Yashar contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yashar merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Yashar in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Yashar in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Yashar contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yashar merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Yashar in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
音量
$9,249終了日
2026/11/30マーケット開始日
Sep 4, 2026, 6:17 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls place Gadi Eisenkot’s Yashar party at an average of roughly 22 seats, narrowly ahead of Likud, reflecting sustained but modest support for the centrist list ahead of the October 27 election. Trader pricing clusters around 24-25 seats because late-campaign dynamics remain fluid: surplus-vote pacts with the Democrats and competition from Bennett-Lapid’s Together and smaller right-wing lists could shift marginal votes, while ongoing security and economic concerns continue to erode the governing bloc. Recent surveys show small weekly swings of one to two seats, keeping outcomes in the low-to-mid 20s most probable while leaving room for modest upside or downside if turnout or last-minute alliances change.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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