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icon for ジョン・ラトクリフが12月31日までにCIA長官に?

ジョン・ラトクリフが12月31日までにCIA長官に?

icon for ジョン・ラトクリフが12月31日までにCIA長官に?

ジョン・ラトクリフが12月31日までにCIA長官に?

12月 31

12月 31

はい

30% 確率
Polymarket
新規

はい

30% 確率
Polymarket
新規
This market will resolve to “Yes” if John Ratcliffe ceases to be U.S. Director of the Central Intelligence Agency for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of John Ratcliffe's resignation/removal by this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from John Ratcliffe and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.John Ratcliffe has served as CIA Director since his Senate confirmation in January 2025 on a 74-25 vote, and recent developments have strengthened his position within the intelligence community. In mid-2026, the resignation of Director of National Intelligence Tulsi Gabbard—following reported clashes with Ratcliffe—led to interim leadership by an ally and nomination of another Ratcliffe-backed candidate, consolidating influence at Langley. Ratcliffe has continued public activities, including foreign engagements and internal reforms focused on technology and acquisitions, with no announced plans for departure or major controversies prompting removal. Trader consensus at 70% against an exit by year-end reflects the absence of structural pressures such as confirmation fights, policy reversals, or administration signals of change, consistent with typical tenure patterns for confirmed national security officials in the current term.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if John Ratcliffe ceases to be U.S. Director of the Central Intelligence Agency for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of John Ratcliffe's resignation/removal by this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from John Ratcliffe and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$888
終了日
2026/12/31
マーケット開始日
Jul 29, 2026, 6:33 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if John Ratcliffe ceases to be U.S. Director of the Central Intelligence Agency for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of John Ratcliffe's resignation/removal by this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from John Ratcliffe and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if John Ratcliffe ceases to be U.S. Director of the Central Intelligence Agency for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of John Ratcliffe's resignation/removal by this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from John Ratcliffe and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.John Ratcliffe has served as CIA Director since his Senate confirmation in January 2025 on a 74-25 vote, and recent developments have strengthened his position within the intelligence community. In mid-2026, the resignation of Director of National Intelligence Tulsi Gabbard—following reported clashes with Ratcliffe—led to interim leadership by an ally and nomination of another Ratcliffe-backed candidate, consolidating influence at Langley. Ratcliffe has continued public activities, including foreign engagements and internal reforms focused on technology and acquisitions, with no announced plans for departure or major controversies prompting removal. Trader consensus at 70% against an exit by year-end reflects the absence of structural pressures such as confirmation fights, policy reversals, or administration signals of change, consistent with typical tenure patterns for confirmed national security officials in the current term.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if John Ratcliffe ceases to be U.S. Director of the Central Intelligence Agency for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of John Ratcliffe's resignation/removal by this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from John Ratcliffe and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$888
終了日
2026/12/31
マーケット開始日
Jul 29, 2026, 6:33 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if John Ratcliffe ceases to be U.S. Director of the Central Intelligence Agency for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of John Ratcliffe's resignation/removal by this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from John Ratcliffe and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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よくある質問

「ジョン・ラトクリフが12月31日までにCIA長官に?」はPolymarket上の2個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「ジョン・ラトクリフは12月31日までにCIA長官を辞任するか?」で30%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、30¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に30%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「ジョン・ラトクリフが12月31日までにCIA長官に?」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です(Jul 29, 2026開始)。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「ジョン・ラトクリフが12月31日までにCIA長官に?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている2個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「ジョン・ラトクリフが12月31日までにCIA長官に?」の現在のフロントランナーは「ジョン・ラトクリフは12月31日までにCIA長官を辞任するか?」で30%であり、市場がこの結果に30%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「ジョン・ラトクリフが12月31日までにCIA長官に?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。