**Current forecast consensus from models like GFS points to an overnight minimum of 12–14°C in Amsterdam on September 21, 2026, under stable high pressure with light northwesterly winds and partly to mostly cloudy skies promoting modest radiational cooling.** Trader positioning, with 11°C carrying the highest implied probability at 54%, aligns with the lower end of ensemble guidance and accounts for typical urban heat island moderation plus slight model spread in dew point and cloud cover. The notable 34.5% probability on 7°C or below reflects residual tail risk from any unexpected clear-sky intensification or measurement variance at official stations, though historical late-September climatology and recent stable conditions make deeper cooling unlikely. Key resolution hinges on the final 24-hour minimum reported by monitoring networks, with no major frontal systems or rapid changes expected before the market settles.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月21日のアムステルダムの最低気温は？
9月21日のアムステルダムの最低気温は？
11℃ 88%
7℃以下 67%
9℃ 18%
8°C 17%
新規
新規
2026/09/21
7℃以下
67%
8°C
17%
9℃
18%
10°C
-
11℃
88%
12°C
<1%
13℃
<1%
14℃
<1%
15℃
<1%
16°C
<1%
17℃以上
<1%
11℃ 88%
7℃以下 67%
9℃ 18%
8°C 17%
新規
新規
2026/09/21
7℃以下
$0 Vol.
67%
8°C
$0 Vol.
17%
9℃
$0 Vol.
18%
10°C
$43 Vol.
-
11℃
$94 Vol.
88%
12°C
$194 Vol.
<1%
13℃
$746 Vol.
<1%
14℃
$635 Vol.
<1%
15℃
$35 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$35 Vol.
<1%
17℃以上
$35 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecast consensus from models like GFS points to an overnight minimum of 12–14°C in Amsterdam on September 21, 2026, under stable high pressure with light northwesterly winds and partly to mostly cloudy skies promoting modest radiational cooling.** Trader positioning, with 11°C carrying the highest implied probability at 54%, aligns with the lower end of ensemble guidance and accounts for typical urban heat island moderation plus slight model spread in dew point and cloud cover. The notable 34.5% probability on 7°C or below reflects residual tail risk from any unexpected clear-sky intensification or measurement variance at official stations, though historical late-September climatology and recent stable conditions make deeper cooling unlikely. Key resolution hinges on the final 24-hour minimum reported by monitoring networks, with no major frontal systems or rapid changes expected before the market settles.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 19, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
音量
$1,795終了日
2026/09/21マーケット開始日
Sep 19, 2026, 12:31 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecast consensus from models like GFS points to an overnight minimum of 12–14°C in Amsterdam on September 21, 2026, under stable high pressure with light northwesterly winds and partly to mostly cloudy skies promoting modest radiational cooling.** Trader positioning, with 11°C carrying the highest implied probability at 54%, aligns with the lower end of ensemble guidance and accounts for typical urban heat island moderation plus slight model spread in dew point and cloud cover. The notable 34.5% probability on 7°C or below reflects residual tail risk from any unexpected clear-sky intensification or measurement variance at official stations, though historical late-September climatology and recent stable conditions make deeper cooling unlikely. Key resolution hinges on the final 24-hour minimum reported by monitoring networks, with no major frontal systems or rapid changes expected before the market settles.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$1,795終了日
2026/09/21マーケット開始日
Sep 19, 2026, 12:31 AM ET**Current forecast consensus from models like GFS points to an overnight minimum of 12–14°C in Amsterdam on September 21, 2026, under stable high pressure with light northwesterly winds and partly to mostly cloudy skies promoting modest radiational cooling.** Trader positioning, with 11°C carrying the highest implied probability at 54%, aligns with the lower end of ensemble guidance and accounts for typical urban heat island moderation plus slight model spread in dew point and cloud cover. The notable 34.5% probability on 7°C or below reflects residual tail risk from any unexpected clear-sky intensification or measurement variance at official stations, though historical late-September climatology and recent stable conditions make deeper cooling unlikely. Key resolution hinges on the final 24-hour minimum reported by monitoring networks, with no major frontal systems or rapid changes expected before the market settles.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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