Recent ensemble forecasts from models like GFS and ECMWF point to a minimum temperature in Amsterdam on September 22 likely falling between 11–14°C, reflecting tight clustering around the market's leading outcomes. High pressure and light northwest winds favor gradual nocturnal radiative cooling under variable cloud cover, while mild maritime air advection limits sharper drops below historical averages near 10°C. Model spread arises mainly from differences in cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing overnight, creating genuine uncertainty that keeps probabilities closely matched rather than concentrated on one threshold. Updated runs and observational data in the next 24–48 hours will refine these projections ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月22日のアムステルダムの最低気温は？
9月22日のアムステルダムの最低気温は？
12℃ 40%
13°C 40%
14°C 39%
11℃ 19%
新規
新規
2026/09/22
7°C以下
3%
8°C
2%
9℃
3%
10℃
5%
11℃
22%
12℃
40%
13°C
40%
14°C
39%
15℃
18%
16°C
11%
17℃以上
7%
12℃ 40%
13°C 40%
14°C 39%
11℃ 19%
新規
新規
2026/09/22
7°C以下
$0 Vol.
3%
8°C
$0 Vol.
2%
9℃
$0 Vol.
3%
10℃
$0 Vol.
5%
11℃
$6 Vol.
22%
12℃
$0 Vol.
40%
13°C
$0 Vol.
40%
14°C
$0 Vol.
39%
15℃
$0 Vol.
18%
16°C
$0 Vol.
11%
17℃以上
$0 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from models like GFS and ECMWF point to a minimum temperature in Amsterdam on September 22 likely falling between 11–14°C, reflecting tight clustering around the market's leading outcomes. High pressure and light northwest winds favor gradual nocturnal radiative cooling under variable cloud cover, while mild maritime air advection limits sharper drops below historical averages near 10°C. Model spread arises mainly from differences in cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing overnight, creating genuine uncertainty that keeps probabilities closely matched rather than concentrated on one threshold. Updated runs and observational data in the next 24–48 hours will refine these projections ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 20, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
音量
$6終了日
2026/09/22マーケット開始日
Sep 20, 2026, 12:31 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from models like GFS and ECMWF point to a minimum temperature in Amsterdam on September 22 likely falling between 11–14°C, reflecting tight clustering around the market's leading outcomes. High pressure and light northwest winds favor gradual nocturnal radiative cooling under variable cloud cover, while mild maritime air advection limits sharper drops below historical averages near 10°C. Model spread arises mainly from differences in cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing overnight, creating genuine uncertainty that keeps probabilities closely matched rather than concentrated on one threshold. Updated runs and observational data in the next 24–48 hours will refine these projections ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$6終了日
2026/09/22マーケット開始日
Sep 20, 2026, 12:31 AM ETRecent ensemble forecasts from models like GFS and ECMWF point to a minimum temperature in Amsterdam on September 22 likely falling between 11–14°C, reflecting tight clustering around the market's leading outcomes. High pressure and light northwest winds favor gradual nocturnal radiative cooling under variable cloud cover, while mild maritime air advection limits sharper drops below historical averages near 10°C. Model spread arises mainly from differences in cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing overnight, creating genuine uncertainty that keeps probabilities closely matched rather than concentrated on one threshold. Updated runs and observational data in the next 24–48 hours will refine these projections ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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