Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Ankara's minimum temperature on August 26 will likely range 17–19°C under clear skies and light northeasterly winds, supporting the market's clustered probabilities near 18–19°C and 13–15°C. Primary uncertainty stems from nocturnal radiative cooling rates, modulated by dew points near 9–12°C and minimal cloud cover, which could allow deeper drops if winds remain calm overnight. Stronger mixing from 3–5 m/s gusts or subtle warm-air advection would instead hold lows closer to 18°C, while any model shift toward drier air or clearer conditions favors the sub-15°C outcomes currently implied at roughly 44%. Updated runs from regional ensembles over the next 24 hours will clarify steering patterns and boundary-layer stability before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月26日のアンカラの最低気温は？
8月26日のアンカラの最低気温は？
14°C 85%
18℃ 85%
19℃ 85%
17℃ 82%
新規
新規
2026/08/26
13℃以下
46%
14°C
85%
15℃
43%
16℃
49%
17℃
82%
18℃
85%
19℃
85%
20°C
14%
21℃
13%
22°C
11%
23℃以上
41%
14°C 85%
18℃ 85%
19℃ 85%
17℃ 82%
新規
新規
2026/08/26
13℃以下
$0 Vol.
46%
14°C
$0 Vol.
85%
15℃
$0 Vol.
43%
16℃
$0 Vol.
49%
17℃
$0 Vol.
82%
18℃
$0 Vol.
85%
19℃
$0 Vol.
85%
20°C
$0 Vol.
14%
21℃
$0 Vol.
13%
22°C
$0 Vol.
11%
23℃以上
$0 Vol.
41%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Ankara's minimum temperature on August 26 will likely range 17–19°C under clear skies and light northeasterly winds, supporting the market's clustered probabilities near 18–19°C and 13–15°C. Primary uncertainty stems from nocturnal radiative cooling rates, modulated by dew points near 9–12°C and minimal cloud cover, which could allow deeper drops if winds remain calm overnight. Stronger mixing from 3–5 m/s gusts or subtle warm-air advection would instead hold lows closer to 18°C, while any model shift toward drier air or clearer conditions favors the sub-15°C outcomes currently implied at roughly 44%. Updated runs from regional ensembles over the next 24 hours will clarify steering patterns and boundary-layer stability before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 24, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
音量
$0終了日
2026/08/26マーケット開始日
Aug 24, 2026, 12:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Ankara's minimum temperature on August 26 will likely range 17–19°C under clear skies and light northeasterly winds, supporting the market's clustered probabilities near 18–19°C and 13–15°C. Primary uncertainty stems from nocturnal radiative cooling rates, modulated by dew points near 9–12°C and minimal cloud cover, which could allow deeper drops if winds remain calm overnight. Stronger mixing from 3–5 m/s gusts or subtle warm-air advection would instead hold lows closer to 18°C, while any model shift toward drier air or clearer conditions favors the sub-15°C outcomes currently implied at roughly 44%. Updated runs from regional ensembles over the next 24 hours will clarify steering patterns and boundary-layer stability before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$0終了日
2026/08/26マーケット開始日
Aug 24, 2026, 12:29 AM ETRecent forecasts from multiple models indicate Ankara's minimum temperature on August 26 will likely range 17–19°C under clear skies and light northeasterly winds, supporting the market's clustered probabilities near 18–19°C and 13–15°C. Primary uncertainty stems from nocturnal radiative cooling rates, modulated by dew points near 9–12°C and minimal cloud cover, which could allow deeper drops if winds remain calm overnight. Stronger mixing from 3–5 m/s gusts or subtle warm-air advection would instead hold lows closer to 18°C, while any model shift toward drier air or clearer conditions favors the sub-15°C outcomes currently implied at roughly 44%. Updated runs from regional ensembles over the next 24 hours will clarify steering patterns and boundary-layer stability before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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