Latest ensemble forecasts from regional meteorological models indicate overnight lows in Beijing near 19°C on the night of August 31 into September 1, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies, light northeast winds, and moderate humidity promoting moderate radiative cooling without significant cloud insulation or frontal passage. Historical early-September climatology shows average minimums around 19–20°C during the seasonal transition from summer monsoon influence, with current high-pressure dominance suppressing stronger cooling. Trader consensus clusters tightly on 18–19°C outcomes, reflecting model spread in exact minimums from variations in boundary-layer mixing and localized urban heat effects, while lower-probability tails account for potential rapid clear-sky drops or unexpected moisture. Official updates from the China Meteorological Administration or Beijing Meteorological Service ahead of resolution will refine these projections.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月1日の北京の最低気温は?
13°C or below 59%
16°C 49%
17°C 49%
20°C 49%
13°C or below
59%
14°C
47%
15°C
47%
16°C
49%
17°C
49%
18°C
35%
19°C
35%
20°C
49%
21°C
49%
22°C
1%
23°C or higher
1%
13°C or below 59%
16°C 49%
17°C 49%
20°C 49%
13°C or below
59%
14°C
47%
15°C
47%
16°C
49%
17°C
49%
18°C
35%
19°C
35%
20°C
49%
21°C
49%
22°C
1%
23°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 30, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Latest ensemble forecasts from regional meteorological models indicate overnight lows in Beijing near 19°C on the night of August 31 into September 1, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies, light northeast winds, and moderate humidity promoting moderate radiative cooling without significant cloud insulation or frontal passage. Historical early-September climatology shows average minimums around 19–20°C during the seasonal transition from summer monsoon influence, with current high-pressure dominance suppressing stronger cooling. Trader consensus clusters tightly on 18–19°C outcomes, reflecting model spread in exact minimums from variations in boundary-layer mixing and localized urban heat effects, while lower-probability tails account for potential rapid clear-sky drops or unexpected moisture. Official updates from the China Meteorological Administration or Beijing Meteorological Service ahead of resolution will refine these projections.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問