Forecast models from the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles indicate a daily minimum around 17–19°C for Beijing on September 21 under clear to partly cloudy skies, light southerly winds, and moderate humidity. These conditions favor modest overnight radiative cooling without significant cold-air advection or cloud cover to trap heat. September climatology shows typical lows near 15–18°C, placing the expected value comfortably between the market’s closely matched extremes of 13°C or below (48.5% implied) and 23°C or higher (47.5%). Minor shifts in the evening boundary-layer temperature or wind speed could alter the exact minimum by 1–2°C, sustaining trader focus on the next high-resolution model updates before sunset on the 20th.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月21日の北京の最低気温は？
9月21日の北京の最低気温は？
23℃以上 95%
13℃以下 93%
15℃ 40%
18℃ 38%
新規
新規
2026/09/21
13℃以下
93%
14℃
14%
15℃
40%
16°C
23%
17℃
21%
18℃
38%
19°C
38%
20°C
38%
21°C
38%
22℃
13%
23℃以上
95%
23℃以上 95%
13℃以下 93%
15℃ 40%
18℃ 38%
新規
新規
2026/09/21
13℃以下
$0 Vol.
93%
14℃
$0 Vol.
14%
15℃
$0 Vol.
40%
16°C
$0 Vol.
23%
17℃
$0 Vol.
21%
18℃
$0 Vol.
38%
19°C
$0 Vol.
38%
20°C
$0 Vol.
38%
21°C
$0 Vol.
38%
22℃
$0 Vol.
13%
23℃以上
$0 Vol.
95%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles indicate a daily minimum around 17–19°C for Beijing on September 21 under clear to partly cloudy skies, light southerly winds, and moderate humidity. These conditions favor modest overnight radiative cooling without significant cold-air advection or cloud cover to trap heat. September climatology shows typical lows near 15–18°C, placing the expected value comfortably between the market’s closely matched extremes of 13°C or below (48.5% implied) and 23°C or higher (47.5%). Minor shifts in the evening boundary-layer temperature or wind speed could alter the exact minimum by 1–2°C, sustaining trader focus on the next high-resolution model updates before sunset on the 20th.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 19, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
音量
$0終了日
2026/09/21マーケット開始日
Sep 19, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles indicate a daily minimum around 17–19°C for Beijing on September 21 under clear to partly cloudy skies, light southerly winds, and moderate humidity. These conditions favor modest overnight radiative cooling without significant cold-air advection or cloud cover to trap heat. September climatology shows typical lows near 15–18°C, placing the expected value comfortably between the market’s closely matched extremes of 13°C or below (48.5% implied) and 23°C or higher (47.5%). Minor shifts in the evening boundary-layer temperature or wind speed could alter the exact minimum by 1–2°C, sustaining trader focus on the next high-resolution model updates before sunset on the 20th.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$0終了日
2026/09/21マーケット開始日
Sep 19, 2026, 12:30 AM ETForecast models from the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles indicate a daily minimum around 17–19°C for Beijing on September 21 under clear to partly cloudy skies, light southerly winds, and moderate humidity. These conditions favor modest overnight radiative cooling without significant cold-air advection or cloud cover to trap heat. September climatology shows typical lows near 15–18°C, placing the expected value comfortably between the market’s closely matched extremes of 13°C or below (48.5% implied) and 23°C or higher (47.5%). Minor shifts in the evening boundary-layer temperature or wind speed could alter the exact minimum by 1–2°C, sustaining trader focus on the next high-resolution model updates before sunset on the 20th.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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