Current forecasts from multiple models indicate a minimum temperature near 5–7°C overnight into August 23, consistent with recent August observations in Buenos Aires and typical winter radiative cooling under partly clear skies with light southerly winds. The near-even split between the -2°C-or-below and 8°C-or-higher brackets reflects uncertainty in nocturnal boundary-layer processes, including the strength of any high-pressure ridge promoting clear-sky cooling versus potential increases in low-level moisture or wind that could limit the drop. Official guidance from regional meteorological services and ensemble spreads will be key updates ahead of market resolution, as small shifts in dew-point depression or cloud cover can alter the overnight minimum by several degrees.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月23日のブエノスアイレスの最低気温は?
8°C or higher 92%
7°C 49%
-2°C or below 46%
0°C 27%
-2°C or below
46%
-1°C
26%
0°C
27%
1°C
27%
2°C
27%
3°C
26%
4°C
26%
5°C
26%
6°C
26%
7°C
49%
8°C or higher
92%
8°C or higher 92%
7°C 49%
-2°C or below 46%
0°C 27%
-2°C or below
46%
-1°C
26%
0°C
27%
1°C
27%
2°C
27%
3°C
26%
4°C
26%
5°C
26%
6°C
26%
7°C
49%
8°C or higher
92%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 22, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current forecasts from multiple models indicate a minimum temperature near 5–7°C overnight into August 23, consistent with recent August observations in Buenos Aires and typical winter radiative cooling under partly clear skies with light southerly winds. The near-even split between the -2°C-or-below and 8°C-or-higher brackets reflects uncertainty in nocturnal boundary-layer processes, including the strength of any high-pressure ridge promoting clear-sky cooling versus potential increases in low-level moisture or wind that could limit the drop. Official guidance from regional meteorological services and ensemble spreads will be key updates ahead of market resolution, as small shifts in dew-point depression or cloud cover can alter the overnight minimum by several degrees.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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