Recent forecast models for Chengdu show overnight lows near 20–21°C on September 22 amid expected showers and persistent cloud cover, narrowing the diurnal temperature range through reduced radiational cooling. Sichuan basin humidity and light winds further stabilize temperatures, limiting drops below 18°C while keeping highs near 26°C. Divergent ensemble outputs create the tight market split, with the 43% probability on 15°C or below reflecting downside rain-cooling risks and the 39% on 25°C or higher capturing any drier-model scenarios. Updated China Meteorological Administration guidance and next model runs will likely resolve the narrow band around 20–21°C.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月22日の成都の最低気温は？
9月22日の成都の最低気温は？
25°C以上 84%
15℃以下 75%
21℃ 53%
16℃ 39%
新規
新規
2026/09/22
15℃以下
75%
16℃
39%
17℃
39%
18℃
38%
19℃
39%
20℃
29%
21℃
41%
22℃
39%
23°C
39%
24℃
39%
25°C以上
84%
25°C以上 84%
15℃以下 75%
21℃ 53%
16℃ 39%
新規
新規
2026/09/22
15℃以下
$0 Vol.
75%
16℃
$0 Vol.
39%
17℃
$0 Vol.
39%
18℃
$0 Vol.
38%
19℃
$0 Vol.
39%
20℃
$0 Vol.
29%
21℃
$95 Vol.
41%
22℃
$0 Vol.
39%
23°C
$0 Vol.
39%
24℃
$0 Vol.
39%
25°C以上
$0 Vol.
84%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models for Chengdu show overnight lows near 20–21°C on September 22 amid expected showers and persistent cloud cover, narrowing the diurnal temperature range through reduced radiational cooling. Sichuan basin humidity and light winds further stabilize temperatures, limiting drops below 18°C while keeping highs near 26°C. Divergent ensemble outputs create the tight market split, with the 43% probability on 15°C or below reflecting downside rain-cooling risks and the 39% on 25°C or higher capturing any drier-model scenarios. Updated China Meteorological Administration guidance and next model runs will likely resolve the narrow band around 20–21°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 20, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
音量
$95終了日
2026/09/22マーケット開始日
Sep 20, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models for Chengdu show overnight lows near 20–21°C on September 22 amid expected showers and persistent cloud cover, narrowing the diurnal temperature range through reduced radiational cooling. Sichuan basin humidity and light winds further stabilize temperatures, limiting drops below 18°C while keeping highs near 26°C. Divergent ensemble outputs create the tight market split, with the 43% probability on 15°C or below reflecting downside rain-cooling risks and the 39% on 25°C or higher capturing any drier-model scenarios. Updated China Meteorological Administration guidance and next model runs will likely resolve the narrow band around 20–21°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$95終了日
2026/09/22マーケット開始日
Sep 20, 2026, 12:30 AM ETRecent forecast models for Chengdu show overnight lows near 20–21°C on September 22 amid expected showers and persistent cloud cover, narrowing the diurnal temperature range through reduced radiational cooling. Sichuan basin humidity and light winds further stabilize temperatures, limiting drops below 18°C while keeping highs near 26°C. Divergent ensemble outputs create the tight market split, with the 43% probability on 15°C or below reflecting downside rain-cooling risks and the 39% on 25°C or higher capturing any drier-model scenarios. Updated China Meteorological Administration guidance and next model runs will likely resolve the narrow band around 20–21°C.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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