Current forecast models from sources including WeatherBug, LUFT TIME, and regional Chinese meteorological data project a nighttime minimum temperature in Chengdu around 18–22°C for September 21, driven by cloudy skies, light southerly winds, and typical late-summer humidity levels near 70–85%. This places the expected low near historical September averages of roughly 19–21°C. The market’s near-even split between 16°C-or-below and 26°C-or-higher at 47.5% each, alongside clustered probabilities around 19–22°C, reflects uncertainty in final observational adjustments, model spread in boundary-layer cooling, and potential for minor shifts from cloud cover or urban heat-island effects before official recording. Updated runs and overnight data releases remain key near-term catalysts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月21日の成都の最低気温は？
9月21日の成都の最低気温は？
26℃以上 95%
16℃以下 88%
22°C 39%
17°C 38%
新規
新規
2026/09/21
16℃以下
88%
17°C
38%
18℃
38%
19℃
38%
20℃
38%
21°C
33%
22°C
39%
23℃
38%
24℃
38%
25°C
38%
26℃以上
95%
26℃以上 95%
16℃以下 88%
22°C 39%
17°C 38%
新規
新規
2026/09/21
16℃以下
$0 Vol.
88%
17°C
$0 Vol.
38%
18℃
$0 Vol.
38%
19℃
$0 Vol.
38%
20℃
$0 Vol.
38%
21°C
$0 Vol.
33%
22°C
$0 Vol.
39%
23℃
$0 Vol.
38%
24℃
$0 Vol.
38%
25°C
$0 Vol.
38%
26℃以上
$0 Vol.
95%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources including WeatherBug, LUFT TIME, and regional Chinese meteorological data project a nighttime minimum temperature in Chengdu around 18–22°C for September 21, driven by cloudy skies, light southerly winds, and typical late-summer humidity levels near 70–85%. This places the expected low near historical September averages of roughly 19–21°C. The market’s near-even split between 16°C-or-below and 26°C-or-higher at 47.5% each, alongside clustered probabilities around 19–22°C, reflects uncertainty in final observational adjustments, model spread in boundary-layer cooling, and potential for minor shifts from cloud cover or urban heat-island effects before official recording. Updated runs and overnight data releases remain key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 19, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
音量
$0終了日
2026/09/21マーケット開始日
Sep 19, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources including WeatherBug, LUFT TIME, and regional Chinese meteorological data project a nighttime minimum temperature in Chengdu around 18–22°C for September 21, driven by cloudy skies, light southerly winds, and typical late-summer humidity levels near 70–85%. This places the expected low near historical September averages of roughly 19–21°C. The market’s near-even split between 16°C-or-below and 26°C-or-higher at 47.5% each, alongside clustered probabilities around 19–22°C, reflects uncertainty in final observational adjustments, model spread in boundary-layer cooling, and potential for minor shifts from cloud cover or urban heat-island effects before official recording. Updated runs and overnight data releases remain key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$0終了日
2026/09/21マーケット開始日
Sep 19, 2026, 12:30 AM ETCurrent forecast models from sources including WeatherBug, LUFT TIME, and regional Chinese meteorological data project a nighttime minimum temperature in Chengdu around 18–22°C for September 21, driven by cloudy skies, light southerly winds, and typical late-summer humidity levels near 70–85%. This places the expected low near historical September averages of roughly 19–21°C. The market’s near-even split between 16°C-or-below and 26°C-or-higher at 47.5% each, alongside clustered probabilities around 19–22°C, reflects uncertainty in final observational adjustments, model spread in boundary-layer cooling, and potential for minor shifts from cloud cover or urban heat-island effects before official recording. Updated runs and overnight data releases remain key near-term catalysts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問