Current forecast models from multiple sources converge on a minimum temperature of 25–27°C for Guangzhou on August 26, driven by widespread cloud cover, heavy rainfall, and high humidity associated with the East Asian summer monsoon. These conditions suppress radiative cooling overnight, keeping lows near or slightly above the 1991–2020 climatological average of 25.3°C. Trader consensus across closely matched outcomes (centered on 26°C and 27°C) reflects remaining uncertainty in exact rainfall timing, wind speeds, and brief clear-sky windows that could allow 1–2°C additional cooling. Stronger southeasterly flow or prolonged heavy rain would favor the lower end of the range, while any model shift toward reduced cloudiness could push the minimum higher. Historical extremes below 23°C remain rare under similar late-August patterns.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月26日の広州の最低気温は?
21℃以下 55%
25℃ 49%
30°C 46%
23℃ 45%
21℃以下
55%
22°C
37%
23℃
45%
24℃
45%
25℃
49%
26℃
29%
27℃
26%
28℃
24%
29℃
45%
30°C
46%
31℃以上
1%
21℃以下 55%
25℃ 49%
30°C 46%
23℃ 45%
21℃以下
55%
22°C
37%
23℃
45%
24℃
45%
25℃
49%
26℃
29%
27℃
26%
28℃
24%
29℃
45%
30°C
46%
31℃以上
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 24, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current forecast models from multiple sources converge on a minimum temperature of 25–27°C for Guangzhou on August 26, driven by widespread cloud cover, heavy rainfall, and high humidity associated with the East Asian summer monsoon. These conditions suppress radiative cooling overnight, keeping lows near or slightly above the 1991–2020 climatological average of 25.3°C. Trader consensus across closely matched outcomes (centered on 26°C and 27°C) reflects remaining uncertainty in exact rainfall timing, wind speeds, and brief clear-sky windows that could allow 1–2°C additional cooling. Stronger southeasterly flow or prolonged heavy rain would favor the lower end of the range, while any model shift toward reduced cloudiness could push the minimum higher. Historical extremes below 23°C remain rare under similar late-August patterns.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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