Recent forecast model runs from agencies including the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and NOAA's GFS indicate Madrid will experience clear skies and light winds under a stable high-pressure ridge through August 30, promoting strong nocturnal radiative cooling that sets the daily minimum temperature. Trader consensus clusters around 13–15 °C because ensemble spreads show the lowest readings could dip near those thresholds if dew-point depressions and boundary-layer mixing remain minimal overnight, while slightly stronger advection or residual cloud cover could hold values near 16 °C. Historical late-August climatology for the city places typical minima around 17–19 °C, so current drier and calmer conditions are pulling implied probabilities toward cooler outcomes, with resolution hinging on the final 48-hour mesoscale updates from the Spanish State Meteorological Agency.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月30日のマドリードの最低気温は？
8月30日のマドリードの最低気温は？
16°C 49%
17°C 49%
18°C 49%
19°C 49%
新規
新規
2026/08/30
13°C or below
31%
14°C
34%
15°C
27%
16°C
49%
17°C
49%
18°C
49%
19°C
49%
20°C
19%
21°C
19%
22°C
2%
23°C or higher
8%
16°C 49%
17°C 49%
18°C 49%
19°C 49%
新規
新規
2026/08/30
13°C or below
$0 Vol.
31%
14°C
$0 Vol.
34%
15°C
$0 Vol.
27%
16°C
$0 Vol.
49%
17°C
$0 Vol.
49%
18°C
$0 Vol.
49%
19°C
$0 Vol.
49%
20°C
$0 Vol.
19%
21°C
$5 Vol.
19%
22°C
$5 Vol.
2%
23°C or higher
$5 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs from agencies including the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and NOAA's GFS indicate Madrid will experience clear skies and light winds under a stable high-pressure ridge through August 30, promoting strong nocturnal radiative cooling that sets the daily minimum temperature. Trader consensus clusters around 13–15 °C because ensemble spreads show the lowest readings could dip near those thresholds if dew-point depressions and boundary-layer mixing remain minimal overnight, while slightly stronger advection or residual cloud cover could hold values near 16 °C. Historical late-August climatology for the city places typical minima around 17–19 °C, so current drier and calmer conditions are pulling implied probabilities toward cooler outcomes, with resolution hinging on the final 48-hour mesoscale updates from the Spanish State Meteorological Agency.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
音量
$15終了日
2026/08/30マーケット開始日
Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs from agencies including the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and NOAA's GFS indicate Madrid will experience clear skies and light winds under a stable high-pressure ridge through August 30, promoting strong nocturnal radiative cooling that sets the daily minimum temperature. Trader consensus clusters around 13–15 °C because ensemble spreads show the lowest readings could dip near those thresholds if dew-point depressions and boundary-layer mixing remain minimal overnight, while slightly stronger advection or residual cloud cover could hold values near 16 °C. Historical late-August climatology for the city places typical minima around 17–19 °C, so current drier and calmer conditions are pulling implied probabilities toward cooler outcomes, with resolution hinging on the final 48-hour mesoscale updates from the Spanish State Meteorological Agency.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$15終了日
2026/08/30マーケット開始日
Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETRecent forecast model runs from agencies including the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and NOAA's GFS indicate Madrid will experience clear skies and light winds under a stable high-pressure ridge through August 30, promoting strong nocturnal radiative cooling that sets the daily minimum temperature. Trader consensus clusters around 13–15 °C because ensemble spreads show the lowest readings could dip near those thresholds if dew-point depressions and boundary-layer mixing remain minimal overnight, while slightly stronger advection or residual cloud cover could hold values near 16 °C. Historical late-August climatology for the city places typical minima around 17–19 °C, so current drier and calmer conditions are pulling implied probabilities toward cooler outcomes, with resolution hinging on the final 48-hour mesoscale updates from the Spanish State Meteorological Agency.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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