Recent meteorological forecasts from sources like the Russian Hydrometeorological Center and GFS models indicate Moscow's overnight low on September 20 will settle near 8°C under partly cloudy skies, light southwesterly winds, and stable high pressure around 750 mmHg. This aligns with seasonal norms for mid-September and current observational trends showing gradual cooling from daytime highs of 19–21°C. Trader consensus at 95% implied probability for 8°C reflects strong model agreement on these conditions, with limited uncertainty in the final hours before resolution. A realistic challenge could arise from faster radiational cooling under clearer skies than projected or a last-minute shift in steering patterns that drops readings to 7°C or below.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月20日のモスクワの最低気温は?
8℃ 95%
7℃ 5%
6°C 2%
5℃以下 <1%
$4,289 Vol.
$4,289 Vol.
5℃以下
いいえ
6°C
いいえ
7℃
いいえ
8℃
はい
9℃
いいえ
10℃
いいえ
11℃
いいえ
12℃
いいえ
13°C
いいえ
14°C
いいえ
15°C以上
いいえ
8℃ 95%
7℃ 5%
6°C 2%
5℃以下 <1%
$4,289 Vol.
$4,289 Vol.
5℃以下
いいえ
6°C
いいえ
7℃
いいえ
8℃
はい
9℃
いいえ
10℃
いいえ
11℃
いいえ
12℃
いいえ
13°C
いいえ
14°C
いいえ
15°C以上
いいえ
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Sep 18, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
リゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
リゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
Recent meteorological forecasts from sources like the Russian Hydrometeorological Center and GFS models indicate Moscow's overnight low on September 20 will settle near 8°C under partly cloudy skies, light southwesterly winds, and stable high pressure around 750 mmHg. This aligns with seasonal norms for mid-September and current observational trends showing gradual cooling from daytime highs of 19–21°C. Trader consensus at 95% implied probability for 8°C reflects strong model agreement on these conditions, with limited uncertainty in the final hours before resolution. A realistic challenge could arise from faster radiational cooling under clearer skies than projected or a last-minute shift in steering patterns that drops readings to 7°C or below.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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