Recent model consensus from sources like GFS and DWD-MOS projects overnight lows near 13–15°C in Paris on September 12 under clear skies and light northwesterly winds, favoring radiative cooling without strong cold-air advection. This places the minimum modestly above the 1991–2020 climatological average of 11.8°C yet below recent warmer analogs. The tight spread between the market’s leading 12°C and 13°C outcomes reflects lingering uncertainty in exact minimum timing, urban heat-island effects, and minor model differences in boundary-layer moisture. With no incoming fronts or significant synoptic changes expected before resolution, trader sentiment centers on these subtle forecast nuances rather than dramatic shifts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月12日のパリの最低気温は？
9月12日のパリの最低気温は？
13°C 41%
12℃ 28%
15℃ 20%
11℃ 15%
新規
新規
2026/09/12
8°C以下
3%
9℃
2%
10℃
2%
11℃
21%
12℃
28%
13°C
41%
14℃
14%
15℃
20%
16°C
3%
17℃
2%
18℃以上
2%
13°C 41%
12℃ 28%
15℃ 20%
11℃ 15%
新規
新規
2026/09/12
8°C以下
$0 Vol.
3%
9℃
$0 Vol.
2%
10℃
$0 Vol.
2%
11℃
$740 Vol.
21%
12℃
$1,015 Vol.
28%
13°C
$3,112 Vol.
41%
14℃
$509 Vol.
14%
15℃
$0 Vol.
20%
16°C
$0 Vol.
3%
17℃
$0 Vol.
2%
18℃以上
$0 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources like GFS and DWD-MOS projects overnight lows near 13–15°C in Paris on September 12 under clear skies and light northwesterly winds, favoring radiative cooling without strong cold-air advection. This places the minimum modestly above the 1991–2020 climatological average of 11.8°C yet below recent warmer analogs. The tight spread between the market’s leading 12°C and 13°C outcomes reflects lingering uncertainty in exact minimum timing, urban heat-island effects, and minor model differences in boundary-layer moisture. With no incoming fronts or significant synoptic changes expected before resolution, trader sentiment centers on these subtle forecast nuances rather than dramatic shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 10, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
音量
$5,376終了日
2026/09/12マーケット開始日
Sep 10, 2026, 12:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources like GFS and DWD-MOS projects overnight lows near 13–15°C in Paris on September 12 under clear skies and light northwesterly winds, favoring radiative cooling without strong cold-air advection. This places the minimum modestly above the 1991–2020 climatological average of 11.8°C yet below recent warmer analogs. The tight spread between the market’s leading 12°C and 13°C outcomes reflects lingering uncertainty in exact minimum timing, urban heat-island effects, and minor model differences in boundary-layer moisture. With no incoming fronts or significant synoptic changes expected before resolution, trader sentiment centers on these subtle forecast nuances rather than dramatic shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$5,376終了日
2026/09/12マーケット開始日
Sep 10, 2026, 12:29 AM ETRecent model consensus from sources like GFS and DWD-MOS projects overnight lows near 13–15°C in Paris on September 12 under clear skies and light northwesterly winds, favoring radiative cooling without strong cold-air advection. This places the minimum modestly above the 1991–2020 climatological average of 11.8°C yet below recent warmer analogs. The tight spread between the market’s leading 12°C and 13°C outcomes reflects lingering uncertainty in exact minimum timing, urban heat-island effects, and minor model differences in boundary-layer moisture. With no incoming fronts or significant synoptic changes expected before resolution, trader sentiment centers on these subtle forecast nuances rather than dramatic shifts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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