Current forecasts from GFS and related models indicate Paris overnight lows on September 13 near 15–16°C under partly to mostly cloudy skies and light westerly flow, supporting the market's tight clustering around 14–15°C. Radiative cooling will be moderated by increasing cloud cover and dew points in the 12–14°C range, limiting drops below 14°C despite clear spells possible early in the night. Ensemble spreads remain modest this close to the event, with historical September averages near 12°C providing context for the warmer anomaly. Traders appear focused on the next model runs and any adjustments to cloud timing that could shift the minimum by 1–2°C.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月13日のパリの最低気温は?
14℃ 44%
15°C 29%
13℃ 16%
17°C 11%
9°C以下
2%
10℃
3%
11℃
4%
12℃
6%
13℃
16%
14℃
44%
15°C
29%
16℃
10%
17°C
11%
18°C
2%
19℃以上
2%
14℃ 44%
15°C 29%
13℃ 16%
17°C 11%
9°C以下
2%
10℃
3%
11℃
4%
12℃
6%
13℃
16%
14℃
44%
15°C
29%
16℃
10%
17°C
11%
18°C
2%
19℃以上
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Sep 11, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current forecasts from GFS and related models indicate Paris overnight lows on September 13 near 15–16°C under partly to mostly cloudy skies and light westerly flow, supporting the market's tight clustering around 14–15°C. Radiative cooling will be moderated by increasing cloud cover and dew points in the 12–14°C range, limiting drops below 14°C despite clear spells possible early in the night. Ensemble spreads remain modest this close to the event, with historical September averages near 12°C providing context for the warmer anomaly. Traders appear focused on the next model runs and any adjustments to cloud timing that could shift the minimum by 1–2°C.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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