Recent forecast models from sources like timeanddate and regional outlooks show Shanghai experiencing typical late-August conditions, with daytime highs near 30–33°C and overnight lows stabilizing around 26–27°C amid high humidity, light winds, and scattered thundershowers. These factors limit nocturnal radiative cooling, supporting minimum temperatures in this narrow range on August 21. Trader consensus reflected in the market odds aligns closely with this model consensus, as persistent subtropical warmth and moisture keep the 27°C outcome leading at 55% implied probability while 26°C trails at 32%. No significant cooling fronts or typhoon influences appear imminent to shift the range before the observation window closes.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月21日の上海の最低気温は?
27°C 54%
26°C 29%
28°C 10%
25°C 8%
22℃以下
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
8%
26°C
29%
27°C
54%
28°C
10%
29°C
3%
30℃
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C以上
<1%
27°C 54%
26°C 29%
28°C 10%
25°C 8%
22℃以下
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
8%
26°C
29%
27°C
54%
28°C
10%
29°C
3%
30℃
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C以上
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 19, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecast models from sources like timeanddate and regional outlooks show Shanghai experiencing typical late-August conditions, with daytime highs near 30–33°C and overnight lows stabilizing around 26–27°C amid high humidity, light winds, and scattered thundershowers. These factors limit nocturnal radiative cooling, supporting minimum temperatures in this narrow range on August 21. Trader consensus reflected in the market odds aligns closely with this model consensus, as persistent subtropical warmth and moisture keep the 27°C outcome leading at 55% implied probability while 26°C trails at 32%. No significant cooling fronts or typhoon influences appear imminent to shift the range before the observation window closes.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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