Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Shenzhen's overnight low on September 1 will likely hover near 25–26°C amid lingering moisture and cloud cover from the remnants of tropical cyclone Shadell. North-to-northeasterly winds of 5–10 m/s, combined with 60–90% humidity and scattered showers, limit radiative cooling while preventing sharp drops. Historical early-September minima average 24–26°C, and current ensemble guidance shows limited spread below 24°C or above 27°C. The tight clustering of market-implied odds around 25–26°C reflects this narrow uncertainty range ahead of final observational data from local stations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月1日の深センの最低気温は?
24°C 76%
22°C or below 54%
26°C 53%
29°C 49%
22°C or below
54%
23°C
40%
24°C
76%
25°C
43%
26°C
53%
27°C
27%
28°C
25%
29°C
49%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
1%
24°C 76%
22°C or below 54%
26°C 53%
29°C 49%
22°C or below
54%
23°C
40%
24°C
76%
25°C
43%
26°C
53%
27°C
27%
28°C
25%
29°C
49%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 30, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Shenzhen's overnight low on September 1 will likely hover near 25–26°C amid lingering moisture and cloud cover from the remnants of tropical cyclone Shadell. North-to-northeasterly winds of 5–10 m/s, combined with 60–90% humidity and scattered showers, limit radiative cooling while preventing sharp drops. Historical early-September minima average 24–26°C, and current ensemble guidance shows limited spread below 24°C or above 27°C. The tight clustering of market-implied odds around 25–26°C reflects this narrow uncertainty range ahead of final observational data from local stations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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