Recent ensemble forecasts for Shenzhen on August 31 indicate a minimum temperature near 25–26°C, driven by widespread cloud cover, moderate to heavy rainfall, and high humidity associated with a lingering monsoon influence that limits nocturnal radiative cooling. Light variable winds and dew points in the mid-20s further support this range, consistent with climatological August lows around 25°C while preventing sharper drops that would favor sub-23°C outcomes. Model consensus remains tight but shows minor spread in timing of rain bands, with traders weighting official station observations and updated runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月31日の深センの最低気温は？
8月31日の深センの最低気温は？
23°C 83%
32°C or higher 82%
22°C or below 81%
24°C 80%
新規
新規
2026/08/31
22°C or below
81%
23°C
83%
24°C
80%
25°C
43%
26°C
54%
27°C
35%
28°C
47%
29°C
50%
30°C
2%
31°C
45%
32°C or higher
82%
23°C 83%
32°C or higher 82%
22°C or below 81%
24°C 80%
新規
新規
2026/08/31
22°C or below
$0 Vol.
81%
23°C
$0 Vol.
83%
24°C
$0 Vol.
80%
25°C
$0 Vol.
43%
26°C
$0 Vol.
54%
27°C
$0 Vol.
35%
28°C
$0 Vol.
47%
29°C
$0 Vol.
50%
30°C
$0 Vol.
2%
31°C
$0 Vol.
45%
32°C or higher
$130 Vol.
82%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts for Shenzhen on August 31 indicate a minimum temperature near 25–26°C, driven by widespread cloud cover, moderate to heavy rainfall, and high humidity associated with a lingering monsoon influence that limits nocturnal radiative cooling. Light variable winds and dew points in the mid-20s further support this range, consistent with climatological August lows around 25°C while preventing sharper drops that would favor sub-23°C outcomes. Model consensus remains tight but shows minor spread in timing of rain bands, with traders weighting official station observations and updated runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
音量
$130終了日
2026/08/31マーケット開始日
Aug 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts for Shenzhen on August 31 indicate a minimum temperature near 25–26°C, driven by widespread cloud cover, moderate to heavy rainfall, and high humidity associated with a lingering monsoon influence that limits nocturnal radiative cooling. Light variable winds and dew points in the mid-20s further support this range, consistent with climatological August lows around 25°C while preventing sharper drops that would favor sub-23°C outcomes. Model consensus remains tight but shows minor spread in timing of rain bands, with traders weighting official station observations and updated runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$130終了日
2026/08/31マーケット開始日
Aug 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ETRecent ensemble forecasts for Shenzhen on August 31 indicate a minimum temperature near 25–26°C, driven by widespread cloud cover, moderate to heavy rainfall, and high humidity associated with a lingering monsoon influence that limits nocturnal radiative cooling. Light variable winds and dew points in the mid-20s further support this range, consistent with climatological August lows around 25°C while preventing sharper drops that would favor sub-23°C outcomes. Model consensus remains tight but shows minor spread in timing of rain bands, with traders weighting official station observations and updated runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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