Recent forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international models show Shenzhen under persistent cloud cover with high humidity (80-95%) and scattered showers or thunderstorms on August 29, limiting nighttime radiative cooling and supporting an overnight low near 26-27°C. This aligns with the current monsoon pattern and recent heavy rainfall that has kept surface temperatures elevated, consistent with August climatology where typical lows hover around 25°C. Trader-implied odds favor 27°C or 26°C as the daily minimum, reflecting model consensus on steering patterns and moisture that reduce the chance of clearer skies or stronger cooling. Updated model runs and official overnight observations ahead of resolution will provide the final data.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月29日の深センの最低気温は？
8月29日の深センの最低気温は？
30°C 74%
31°C 74%
27°C 45%
26°C 44%
新規
新規
2026/08/29
22°C or below
7%
23°C
6%
24°C
10%
25°C
42%
26°C
44%
27°C
45%
28°C
32%
29°C
39%
30°C
74%
31°C
74%
32°C or higher
<1%
30°C 74%
31°C 74%
27°C 45%
26°C 44%
新規
新規
2026/08/29
22°C or below
$18 Vol.
7%
23°C
$56 Vol.
6%
24°C
$66 Vol.
10%
25°C
$0 Vol.
42%
26°C
$0 Vol.
44%
27°C
$0 Vol.
45%
28°C
$0 Vol.
32%
29°C
$0 Vol.
39%
30°C
$5 Vol.
74%
31°C
$5 Vol.
74%
32°C or higher
$22 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international models show Shenzhen under persistent cloud cover with high humidity (80-95%) and scattered showers or thunderstorms on August 29, limiting nighttime radiative cooling and supporting an overnight low near 26-27°C. This aligns with the current monsoon pattern and recent heavy rainfall that has kept surface temperatures elevated, consistent with August climatology where typical lows hover around 25°C. Trader-implied odds favor 27°C or 26°C as the daily minimum, reflecting model consensus on steering patterns and moisture that reduce the chance of clearer skies or stronger cooling. Updated model runs and official overnight observations ahead of resolution will provide the final data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
音量
$171終了日
2026/08/29マーケット開始日
Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international models show Shenzhen under persistent cloud cover with high humidity (80-95%) and scattered showers or thunderstorms on August 29, limiting nighttime radiative cooling and supporting an overnight low near 26-27°C. This aligns with the current monsoon pattern and recent heavy rainfall that has kept surface temperatures elevated, consistent with August climatology where typical lows hover around 25°C. Trader-implied odds favor 27°C or 26°C as the daily minimum, reflecting model consensus on steering patterns and moisture that reduce the chance of clearer skies or stronger cooling. Updated model runs and official overnight observations ahead of resolution will provide the final data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$171終了日
2026/08/29マーケット開始日
Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ETRecent forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international models show Shenzhen under persistent cloud cover with high humidity (80-95%) and scattered showers or thunderstorms on August 29, limiting nighttime radiative cooling and supporting an overnight low near 26-27°C. This aligns with the current monsoon pattern and recent heavy rainfall that has kept surface temperatures elevated, consistent with August climatology where typical lows hover around 25°C. Trader-implied odds favor 27°C or 26°C as the daily minimum, reflecting model consensus on steering patterns and moisture that reduce the chance of clearer skies or stronger cooling. Updated model runs and official overnight observations ahead of resolution will provide the final data.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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