**Trader consensus strongly favors a lowest temperature of 16°C for Toronto on September 8, 2026, at 96% implied probability.** This positioning reflects official forecasts from Environment Canada and supporting models showing an overnight low of 17–19°C (63–66°F) under mostly clear to increasing cloud conditions following a sunny daytime high near 25°C. Current observations at Toronto Pearson around midday confirm mild temperatures near 24°C with moderate humidity and light winds, consistent with limited overnight cooling. Historical climatology places the average September 8 low at 15.2°C, providing context for the market-implied outcome near that baseline. The dominant 16°C resolution remains robust barring significant forecast revisions, such as clearer skies enabling greater radiational cooling or shifts in steering patterns that could push the minimum below 15°C.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月8日のトロントの最低気温は？
9月8日のトロントの最低気温は？
16℃ 96%
11°C以下 93%
15℃ 10%
14℃ <1%
$2,101 Vol.
$2,101 Vol.
2026/09/08
11°C以下
93%
12℃
<1%
13°C
<1%
14℃
1%
15℃
10%
16℃
96%
17℃
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21℃以上
<1%
16℃ 96%
11°C以下 93%
15℃ 10%
14℃ <1%
$2,101 Vol.
$2,101 Vol.
2026/09/08
11°C以下
$35 Vol.
93%
12℃
$170 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$114 Vol.
<1%
14℃
$15 Vol.
1%
15℃
$42 Vol.
10%
16℃
$347 Vol.
96%
17℃
$286 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$481 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$186 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$224 Vol.
<1%
21℃以上
$200 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus strongly favors a lowest temperature of 16°C for Toronto on September 8, 2026, at 96% implied probability.** This positioning reflects official forecasts from Environment Canada and supporting models showing an overnight low of 17–19°C (63–66°F) under mostly clear to increasing cloud conditions following a sunny daytime high near 25°C. Current observations at Toronto Pearson around midday confirm mild temperatures near 24°C with moderate humidity and light winds, consistent with limited overnight cooling. Historical climatology places the average September 8 low at 15.2°C, providing context for the market-implied outcome near that baseline. The dominant 16°C resolution remains robust barring significant forecast revisions, such as clearer skies enabling greater radiational cooling or shifts in steering patterns that could push the minimum below 15°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 6, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
音量
$2,101終了日
2026/09/08マーケット開始日
Sep 6, 2026, 8:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus strongly favors a lowest temperature of 16°C for Toronto on September 8, 2026, at 96% implied probability.** This positioning reflects official forecasts from Environment Canada and supporting models showing an overnight low of 17–19°C (63–66°F) under mostly clear to increasing cloud conditions following a sunny daytime high near 25°C. Current observations at Toronto Pearson around midday confirm mild temperatures near 24°C with moderate humidity and light winds, consistent with limited overnight cooling. Historical climatology places the average September 8 low at 15.2°C, providing context for the market-implied outcome near that baseline. The dominant 16°C resolution remains robust barring significant forecast revisions, such as clearer skies enabling greater radiational cooling or shifts in steering patterns that could push the minimum below 15°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$2,101終了日
2026/09/08マーケット開始日
Sep 6, 2026, 8:29 AM ET**Trader consensus strongly favors a lowest temperature of 16°C for Toronto on September 8, 2026, at 96% implied probability.** This positioning reflects official forecasts from Environment Canada and supporting models showing an overnight low of 17–19°C (63–66°F) under mostly clear to increasing cloud conditions following a sunny daytime high near 25°C. Current observations at Toronto Pearson around midday confirm mild temperatures near 24°C with moderate humidity and light winds, consistent with limited overnight cooling. Historical climatology places the average September 8 low at 15.2°C, providing context for the market-implied outcome near that baseline. The dominant 16°C resolution remains robust barring significant forecast revisions, such as clearer skies enabling greater radiational cooling or shifts in steering patterns that could push the minimum below 15°C.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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