Chung Tung-chin, the incumbent Miaoli County magistrate running for re-election in Taiwan’s November 2026 local elections, holds an 88.5% implied probability as traders price in his established local support base and prior victory as an independent despite party tensions. DPP nominee Chen Pin-an sits at 7%, reflecting the opposition party’s limited recent gains in the county and the structural advantages of incumbency in magistrate races. Multiple other listed candidates at 50% indicate low or untested viability, with no major primary upsets, scandals, or polling shifts reported in recent months to alter positioning. The market consensus aligns with typical re-election patterns for sitting magistrates in similar Taiwanese local contests.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2027/06/30
鐘東錦
89%
陳斌安
6%
新規
新規
2027/06/30
鐘東錦
$643 Vol.
89%
陳斌安
$804 Vol.
6%
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Miaoli County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Chung Tung-chin, the incumbent Miaoli County magistrate running for re-election in Taiwan’s November 2026 local elections, holds an 88.5% implied probability as traders price in his established local support base and prior victory as an independent despite party tensions. DPP nominee Chen Pin-an sits at 7%, reflecting the opposition party’s limited recent gains in the county and the structural advantages of incumbency in magistrate races. Multiple other listed candidates at 50% indicate low or untested viability, with no major primary upsets, scandals, or polling shifts reported in recent months to alter positioning. The market consensus aligns with typical re-election patterns for sitting magistrates in similar Taiwanese local contests.
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Miaoli County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Miaoli County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
マーケット開始日： Aug 14, 2026, 8:56 AM ET
音量
$1,447終了日
2026/11/28マーケット開始日
Aug 14, 2026, 8:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Miaoli County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Chung Tung-chin, the incumbent Miaoli County magistrate running for re-election in Taiwan’s November 2026 local elections, holds an 88.5% implied probability as traders price in his established local support base and prior victory as an independent despite party tensions. DPP nominee Chen Pin-an sits at 7%, reflecting the opposition party’s limited recent gains in the county and the structural advantages of incumbency in magistrate races. Multiple other listed candidates at 50% indicate low or untested viability, with no major primary upsets, scandals, or polling shifts reported in recent months to alter positioning. The market consensus aligns with typical re-election patterns for sitting magistrates in similar Taiwanese local contests.
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Miaoli County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Miaoli County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
音量
$1,447終了日
2026/11/28マーケット開始日
Aug 14, 2026, 8:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Chung Tung-chin, the incumbent Miaoli County magistrate running for re-election in Taiwan’s November 2026 local elections, holds an 88.5% implied probability as traders price in his established local support base and prior victory as an independent despite party tensions. DPP nominee Chen Pin-an sits at 7%, reflecting the opposition party’s limited recent gains in the county and the structural advantages of incumbency in magistrate races. Multiple other listed candidates at 50% indicate low or untested viability, with no major primary upsets, scandals, or polling shifts reported in recent months to alter positioning. The market consensus aligns with typical re-election patterns for sitting magistrates in similar Taiwanese local contests.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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