Naim Qassem assumed Hezbollah’s secretary-general role in October 2024 after the assassinations of Hassan Nasrallah and designated successor Hashem Safieddine. As of mid-August 2026, he remains in the position, delivering public addresses on resistance to Israeli operations, rejection of direct negotiations, and opposition to disarmament amid Lebanese government talks with Israel and an Iran-U.S. framework for de-escalation. Israeli strikes claimed his elimination in April 2026 without confirmed follow-through in subsequent reporting, while earlier speculation about Iranian dissatisfaction with his performance has not produced visible changes. Trader views on his removal by a target date likely reflect persistent risks from targeted operations, potential Shura Council decisions, or shifts tied to ceasefire enforcement and regional diplomacy.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$938,528 Vol.
2026/12/31
2026年12月31日
8%
$938,528 Vol.
2026年12月31日
$8,418 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Naim Qassem ceases to be Hezbollah’s secretary-general for any length of time between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Naim Qassem will be considered to be removed from power if he resigns, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as Hezbollah’s secretary-general within this market's timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Hezbollah; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Naim Qassem ceases to be Hezbollah’s secretary-general for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Naim Qassem will be considered to be removed from power if he resigns, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as Hezbollah’s secretary-general within this market's timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Hezbollah; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Naim Qassem ceases to be Hezbollah’s secretary-general for any length of time between December 16, 2025 and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Naim Qassem will be considered to be removed from power if he resigns, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as Hezbollah’s secretary-general within this market's timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Hezbollah; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Naim Qassem assumed Hezbollah’s secretary-general role in October 2024 after the assassinations of Hassan Nasrallah and designated successor Hashem Safieddine. As of mid-August 2026, he remains in the position, delivering public addresses on resistance to Israeli operations, rejection of direct negotiations, and opposition to disarmament amid Lebanese government talks with Israel and an Iran-U.S. framework for de-escalation. Israeli strikes claimed his elimination in April 2026 without confirmed follow-through in subsequent reporting, while earlier speculation about Iranian dissatisfaction with his performance has not produced visible changes. Trader views on his removal by a target date likely reflect persistent risks from targeted operations, potential Shura Council decisions, or shifts tied to ceasefire enforcement and regional diplomacy.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Naim Qassem ceases to be Hezbollah’s secretary-general for any length of time between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Naim Qassem will be considered to be removed from power if he resigns, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as Hezbollah’s secretary-general within this market's timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Hezbollah; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Naim Qassem will be considered to be removed from power if he resigns, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as Hezbollah’s secretary-general within this market's timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Hezbollah; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
マーケット開始日： Jun 30, 2026, 5:25 PM ET
音量
$938,528終了日
2026/03/31マーケット開始日
Jun 30, 2026, 5:25 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Naim Qassem ceases to be Hezbollah’s secretary-general for any length of time between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Naim Qassem will be considered to be removed from power if he resigns, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as Hezbollah’s secretary-general within this market's timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Hezbollah; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Naim Qassem ceases to be Hezbollah’s secretary-general for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Naim Qassem will be considered to be removed from power if he resigns, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as Hezbollah’s secretary-general within this market's timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Hezbollah; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Naim Qassem ceases to be Hezbollah’s secretary-general for any length of time between December 16, 2025 and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Naim Qassem will be considered to be removed from power if he resigns, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as Hezbollah’s secretary-general within this market's timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Hezbollah; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Naim Qassem assumed Hezbollah’s secretary-general role in October 2024 after the assassinations of Hassan Nasrallah and designated successor Hashem Safieddine. As of mid-August 2026, he remains in the position, delivering public addresses on resistance to Israeli operations, rejection of direct negotiations, and opposition to disarmament amid Lebanese government talks with Israel and an Iran-U.S. framework for de-escalation. Israeli strikes claimed his elimination in April 2026 without confirmed follow-through in subsequent reporting, while earlier speculation about Iranian dissatisfaction with his performance has not produced visible changes. Trader views on his removal by a target date likely reflect persistent risks from targeted operations, potential Shura Council decisions, or shifts tied to ceasefire enforcement and regional diplomacy.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Naim Qassem ceases to be Hezbollah’s secretary-general for any length of time between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Naim Qassem will be considered to be removed from power if he resigns, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as Hezbollah’s secretary-general within this market's timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Hezbollah; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Naim Qassem will be considered to be removed from power if he resigns, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as Hezbollah’s secretary-general within this market's timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Hezbollah; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
音量
$938,528終了日
2026/03/31マーケット開始日
Jun 30, 2026, 5:25 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Naim Qassem assumed Hezbollah’s secretary-general role in October 2024 after the assassinations of Hassan Nasrallah and designated successor Hashem Safieddine. As of mid-August 2026, he remains in the position, delivering public addresses on resistance to Israeli operations, rejection of direct negotiations, and opposition to disarmament amid Lebanese government talks with Israel and an Iran-U.S. framework for de-escalation. Israeli strikes claimed his elimination in April 2026 without confirmed follow-through in subsequent reporting, while earlier speculation about Iranian dissatisfaction with his performance has not produced visible changes. Trader views on his removal by a target date likely reflect persistent risks from targeted operations, potential Shura Council decisions, or shifts tied to ceasefire enforcement and regional diplomacy.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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