Incumbent Democratic Governor Kathy Hochul maintains a commanding position in the 2026 New York gubernatorial race, backed by consistent double-digit leads in recent Siena University polling that place her ahead of Republican nominee Bruce Blakeman by 16 points. Her incumbency provides advantages in fundraising, party infrastructure, and name recognition across the state, where Democrats have secured every statewide victory since 2002. Blakeman, the Nassau County executive who received the Republican nomination after Elise Stefanik withdrew and secured an endorsement from President Trump, remains largely unknown to most voters outside Long Island and has struggled to broaden his appeal in Democratic-leaning areas. Traders have priced this structural edge and polling trajectory into the market's implied probability for a Democratic outcome, though variables such as the June primary results and general election campaign dynamics could still influence the final result before November.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$69,334 Vol.
$69,334 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
88%
共和党
12%
$69,334 Vol.
$69,334 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
$31,393 Vol.
88%
共和党
$37,942 Vol.
12%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New York gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Governor Kathy Hochul maintains a commanding position in the 2026 New York gubernatorial race, backed by consistent double-digit leads in recent Siena University polling that place her ahead of Republican nominee Bruce Blakeman by 16 points. Her incumbency provides advantages in fundraising, party infrastructure, and name recognition across the state, where Democrats have secured every statewide victory since 2002. Blakeman, the Nassau County executive who received the Republican nomination after Elise Stefanik withdrew and secured an endorsement from President Trump, remains largely unknown to most voters outside Long Island and has struggled to broaden his appeal in Democratic-leaning areas. Traders have priced this structural edge and polling trajectory into the market's implied probability for a Democratic outcome, though variables such as the June primary results and general election campaign dynamics could still influence the final result before November.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New York gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
マーケット開始日： Oct 13, 2025, 5:45 PM ET
音量
$69,334終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Oct 13, 2025, 5:45 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New York gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Governor Kathy Hochul maintains a commanding position in the 2026 New York gubernatorial race, backed by consistent double-digit leads in recent Siena University polling that place her ahead of Republican nominee Bruce Blakeman by 16 points. Her incumbency provides advantages in fundraising, party infrastructure, and name recognition across the state, where Democrats have secured every statewide victory since 2002. Blakeman, the Nassau County executive who received the Republican nomination after Elise Stefanik withdrew and secured an endorsement from President Trump, remains largely unknown to most voters outside Long Island and has struggled to broaden his appeal in Democratic-leaning areas. Traders have priced this structural edge and polling trajectory into the market's implied probability for a Democratic outcome, though variables such as the June primary results and general election campaign dynamics could still influence the final result before November.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New York gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
音量
$69,334終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Oct 13, 2025, 5:45 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democratic Governor Kathy Hochul maintains a commanding position in the 2026 New York gubernatorial race, backed by consistent double-digit leads in recent Siena University polling that place her ahead of Republican nominee Bruce Blakeman by 16 points. Her incumbency provides advantages in fundraising, party infrastructure, and name recognition across the state, where Democrats have secured every statewide victory since 2002. Blakeman, the Nassau County executive who received the Republican nomination after Elise Stefanik withdrew and secured an endorsement from President Trump, remains largely unknown to most voters outside Long Island and has struggled to broaden his appeal in Democratic-leaning areas. Traders have priced this structural edge and polling trajectory into the market's implied probability for a Democratic outcome, though variables such as the June primary results and general election campaign dynamics could still influence the final result before November.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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