Google’s May 2026 I/O announcement that Gemini 3.5 Pro would arrive “next month” remains the dominant catalyst behind the dispersed June probabilities, with traders assigning the highest weight to a late-month window or a slip past June 30. The lack of a firm date or further developer updates since the event has kept sentiment fluid, reflecting typical Google release patterns where flagship Pro models follow Flash variants by several weeks amid ongoing internal testing and benchmark validation. Competitive pressure from rival large language model launches adds urgency, yet traders appear to price in realistic slippage risks around regulatory reviews, infrastructure scaling, and final safety checks before public API and app rollout. Key near-term signals include any Google blog posts, earnings commentary, or partner previews that could narrow the June 23–30 cluster.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日6月30日までにリリースなし 20.5%
6月23日 18%
6月30日 15%
6月16日 8%
$97,072 Vol.
$97,072 Vol.
2026/06/30
6月10日
<1%
6月11日
4%
6月12日
<1%
6月13日
<1%
6月14日
<1%
6月15日
3%
6月16日
8%
6月17日
8%
6月18日
6%
6月19日
1%
6月20日
1%
6月21日
1%
6月22日
7%
6月23日
18%
6月24日
3%
6月25日
1%
6月26日
6%
6月27日
1%
6月28日
<1%
6月29日
1%
6月30日
15%
6月30日までにリリースなし
20%
6月30日までにリリースなし 20.5%
6月23日 18%
6月30日 15%
6月16日 8%
$97,072 Vol.
$97,072 Vol.
2026/06/30
6月10日
$1,646 Vol.
<1%
6月11日
$1,900 Vol.
4%
6月12日
$2,246 Vol.
<1%
6月13日
$2,537 Vol.
<1%
6月14日
$2,635 Vol.
<1%
6月15日
$1,744 Vol.
3%
6月16日
$2,937 Vol.
8%
6月17日
$2,663 Vol.
8%
6月18日
$2,505 Vol.
6%
6月19日
$2,266 Vol.
1%
6月20日
$1,313 Vol.
1%
6月21日
$1,069 Vol.
1%
6月22日
$2,780 Vol.
7%
6月23日
$3,527 Vol.
18%
6月24日
$2,492 Vol.
3%
6月25日
$1,243 Vol.
1%
6月26日
$3,009 Vol.
6%
6月27日
$1,979 Vol.
1%
6月28日
$993 Vol.
<1%
6月29日
$1,487 Vol.
1%
6月30日
$4,663 Vol.
15%
6月30日までにリリースなし
$12,704 Vol.
20%
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google’s May 2026 I/O announcement that Gemini 3.5 Pro would arrive “next month” remains the dominant catalyst behind the dispersed June probabilities, with traders assigning the highest weight to a late-month window or a slip past June 30. The lack of a firm date or further developer updates since the event has kept sentiment fluid, reflecting typical Google release patterns where flagship Pro models follow Flash variants by several weeks amid ongoing internal testing and benchmark validation. Competitive pressure from rival large language model launches adds urgency, yet traders appear to price in realistic slippage risks around regulatory reviews, infrastructure scaling, and final safety checks before public API and app rollout. Key near-term signals include any Google blog posts, earnings commentary, or partner previews that could narrow the June 23–30 cluster.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
マーケット開始日： Jun 1, 2026, 6:57 PM ET
音量
$97,072終了日
2026/06/30マーケット開始日
Jun 1, 2026, 6:57 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google’s May 2026 I/O announcement that Gemini 3.5 Pro would arrive “next month” remains the dominant catalyst behind the dispersed June probabilities, with traders assigning the highest weight to a late-month window or a slip past June 30. The lack of a firm date or further developer updates since the event has kept sentiment fluid, reflecting typical Google release patterns where flagship Pro models follow Flash variants by several weeks amid ongoing internal testing and benchmark validation. Competitive pressure from rival large language model launches adds urgency, yet traders appear to price in realistic slippage risks around regulatory reviews, infrastructure scaling, and final safety checks before public API and app rollout. Key near-term signals include any Google blog posts, earnings commentary, or partner previews that could narrow the June 23–30 cluster.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$97,072終了日
2026/06/30マーケット開始日
Jun 1, 2026, 6:57 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Google’s May 2026 I/O announcement that Gemini 3.5 Pro would arrive “next month” remains the dominant catalyst behind the dispersed June probabilities, with traders assigning the highest weight to a late-month window or a slip past June 30. The lack of a firm date or further developer updates since the event has kept sentiment fluid, reflecting typical Google release patterns where flagship Pro models follow Flash variants by several weeks amid ongoing internal testing and benchmark validation. Competitive pressure from rival large language model launches adds urgency, yet traders appear to price in realistic slippage risks around regulatory reviews, infrastructure scaling, and final safety checks before public API and app rollout. Key near-term signals include any Google blog posts, earnings commentary, or partner previews that could narrow the June 23–30 cluster.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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