SpaceX's planned June 12 Nasdaq debut under ticker SPCX, priced at $135 per share to raise a record $75 billion, drives the 90% market-implied probability that shares open above the IPO level. Strong institutional and retail demand, fueled by Starlink's revenue growth, reusable rocket milestones, and Elon Musk's dual public-company track record, has produced classic underpricing dynamics that historically deliver first-day pops averaging around 19%. Low initial float, anticipated index inclusion buying, and broad excitement for the space-economy leader further reinforce trader consensus, though last-minute roadshow feedback or broader market swings remain potential swing factors before trading begins.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日はい
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This market will resolve to “Yes” if SpaceX's opening share price on its first day of trading is above its IPO offer price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The official opening and IPO prices as listed by the primary exchange and will be considered the opening and IPO share prices for the purposes of this market.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to 50-50.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
If no official opening price for the first day of trading is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official opening price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.SpaceX's planned June 12 Nasdaq debut under ticker SPCX, priced at $135 per share to raise a record $75 billion, drives the 90% market-implied probability that shares open above the IPO level. Strong institutional and retail demand, fueled by Starlink's revenue growth, reusable rocket milestones, and Elon Musk's dual public-company track record, has produced classic underpricing dynamics that historically deliver first-day pops averaging around 19%. Low initial float, anticipated index inclusion buying, and broad excitement for the space-economy leader further reinforce trader consensus, though last-minute roadshow feedback or broader market swings remain potential swing factors before trading begins.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if SpaceX's opening share price on its first day of trading is above its IPO offer price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The official opening and IPO prices as listed by the primary exchange and will be considered the opening and IPO share prices for the purposes of this market.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to 50-50.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
If no official opening price for the first day of trading is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official opening price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
The official opening and IPO prices as listed by the primary exchange and will be considered the opening and IPO share prices for the purposes of this market.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to 50-50.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
If no official opening price for the first day of trading is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official opening price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
マーケット開始日： Jun 9, 2026, 1:31 AM ET
音量
$53マーケット開始日
Jun 9, 2026, 1:31 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if SpaceX's opening share price on its first day of trading is above its IPO offer price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The official opening and IPO prices as listed by the primary exchange and will be considered the opening and IPO share prices for the purposes of this market.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to 50-50.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
If no official opening price for the first day of trading is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official opening price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.SpaceX's planned June 12 Nasdaq debut under ticker SPCX, priced at $135 per share to raise a record $75 billion, drives the 90% market-implied probability that shares open above the IPO level. Strong institutional and retail demand, fueled by Starlink's revenue growth, reusable rocket milestones, and Elon Musk's dual public-company track record, has produced classic underpricing dynamics that historically deliver first-day pops averaging around 19%. Low initial float, anticipated index inclusion buying, and broad excitement for the space-economy leader further reinforce trader consensus, though last-minute roadshow feedback or broader market swings remain potential swing factors before trading begins.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if SpaceX's opening share price on its first day of trading is above its IPO offer price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The official opening and IPO prices as listed by the primary exchange and will be considered the opening and IPO share prices for the purposes of this market.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to 50-50.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
If no official opening price for the first day of trading is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official opening price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
The official opening and IPO prices as listed by the primary exchange and will be considered the opening and IPO share prices for the purposes of this market.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to 50-50.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
If no official opening price for the first day of trading is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official opening price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
音量
$53マーケット開始日
Jun 9, 2026, 1:31 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...SpaceX's planned June 12 Nasdaq debut under ticker SPCX, priced at $135 per share to raise a record $75 billion, drives the 90% market-implied probability that shares open above the IPO level. Strong institutional and retail demand, fueled by Starlink's revenue growth, reusable rocket milestones, and Elon Musk's dual public-company track record, has produced classic underpricing dynamics that historically deliver first-day pops averaging around 19%. Low initial float, anticipated index inclusion buying, and broad excitement for the space-economy leader further reinforce trader consensus, though last-minute roadshow feedback or broader market swings remain potential swing factors before trading begins.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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