Incumbent Rep. Emilia Sykes (D) secured her party's nomination unopposed in the May 5 Ohio primary, setting up a general election matchup against Carey Coleman (R), who emerged from a crowded five-way Republican primary as a former radio host with limited political experience. Ohio's mid-decade redistricting in October 2025 redrew the 13th District to favor Democrats slightly, bolstering Sykes' strong incumbency advantage after her 2024 reelection and robust fundraising. With no recent polls shifting sentiment, traders reflect this structural edge in the 81% implied probability for Democrats, viewing the seat as low-risk amid broader midterm dynamics, though national trends or scandals could influence the November 3 contest.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/11/04
民主党
75%
共和党
28%
新規
新規
2026/11/04
民主党
$415 Vol.
75%
共和党
$165 Vol.
28%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Emilia Sykes (D) secured her party's nomination unopposed in the May 5 Ohio primary, setting up a general election matchup against Carey Coleman (R), who emerged from a crowded five-way Republican primary as a former radio host with limited political experience. Ohio's mid-decade redistricting in October 2025 redrew the 13th District to favor Democrats slightly, bolstering Sykes' strong incumbency advantage after her 2024 reelection and robust fundraising. With no recent polls shifting sentiment, traders reflect this structural edge in the 81% implied probability for Democrats, viewing the seat as low-risk amid broader midterm dynamics, though national trends or scandals could influence the November 3 contest.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ET
音量
$581終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Emilia Sykes (D) secured her party's nomination unopposed in the May 5 Ohio primary, setting up a general election matchup against Carey Coleman (R), who emerged from a crowded five-way Republican primary as a former radio host with limited political experience. Ohio's mid-decade redistricting in October 2025 redrew the 13th District to favor Democrats slightly, bolstering Sykes' strong incumbency advantage after her 2024 reelection and robust fundraising. With no recent polls shifting sentiment, traders reflect this structural edge in the 81% implied probability for Democrats, viewing the seat as low-risk amid broader midterm dynamics, though national trends or scandals could influence the November 3 contest.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$581終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Emilia Sykes (D) secured her party's nomination unopposed in the May 5 Ohio primary, setting up a general election matchup against Carey Coleman (R), who emerged from a crowded five-way Republican primary as a former radio host with limited political experience. Ohio's mid-decade redistricting in October 2025 redrew the 13th District to favor Democrats slightly, bolstering Sykes' strong incumbency advantage after her 2024 reelection and robust fundraising. With no recent polls shifting sentiment, traders reflect this structural edge in the 81% implied probability for Democrats, viewing the seat as low-risk amid broader midterm dynamics, though national trends or scandals could influence the November 3 contest.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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