Incumbent Democrat Maxine Dexter's dominant position in Oregon's 3rd Congressional District, rated Solid Democratic by Cook Political Report and Safe Democratic by Sabato's Crystal Ball, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic Party at 93.5% for the November general election. The district's D+24 partisan voter index and Dexter's 2024 victory margin of 67.7% reflect longstanding blue strength in Multnomah County. Ahead of the May 19 primaries, Dexter holds a massive fundraising edge with over $900,000 raised and $180,000 cash on hand, dwarfing challengers Andrew Castilleja and Jessica Salas, while sole Republican Loran Ayles reports no funds. Scenarios like a primary upset yielding a weakened Democratic nominee, a major scandal, or an overwhelming national Republican wave could challenge this, though structural advantages make upsets unlikely.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/11/03
民主党
94%
共和党
7%
新規
新規
2026/11/03
民主党
$748 Vol.
94%
共和党
$586 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Maxine Dexter's dominant position in Oregon's 3rd Congressional District, rated Solid Democratic by Cook Political Report and Safe Democratic by Sabato's Crystal Ball, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic Party at 93.5% for the November general election. The district's D+24 partisan voter index and Dexter's 2024 victory margin of 67.7% reflect longstanding blue strength in Multnomah County. Ahead of the May 19 primaries, Dexter holds a massive fundraising edge with over $900,000 raised and $180,000 cash on hand, dwarfing challengers Andrew Castilleja and Jessica Salas, while sole Republican Loran Ayles reports no funds. Scenarios like a primary upset yielding a weakened Democratic nominee, a major scandal, or an overwhelming national Republican wave could challenge this, though structural advantages make upsets unlikely.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
音量
$1,334終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Maxine Dexter's dominant position in Oregon's 3rd Congressional District, rated Solid Democratic by Cook Political Report and Safe Democratic by Sabato's Crystal Ball, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic Party at 93.5% for the November general election. The district's D+24 partisan voter index and Dexter's 2024 victory margin of 67.7% reflect longstanding blue strength in Multnomah County. Ahead of the May 19 primaries, Dexter holds a massive fundraising edge with over $900,000 raised and $180,000 cash on hand, dwarfing challengers Andrew Castilleja and Jessica Salas, while sole Republican Loran Ayles reports no funds. Scenarios like a primary upset yielding a weakened Democratic nominee, a major scandal, or an overwhelming national Republican wave could challenge this, though structural advantages make upsets unlikely.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$1,334終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Maxine Dexter's dominant position in Oregon's 3rd Congressional District, rated Solid Democratic by Cook Political Report and Safe Democratic by Sabato's Crystal Ball, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic Party at 93.5% for the November general election. The district's D+24 partisan voter index and Dexter's 2024 victory margin of 67.7% reflect longstanding blue strength in Multnomah County. Ahead of the May 19 primaries, Dexter holds a massive fundraising edge with over $900,000 raised and $180,000 cash on hand, dwarfing challengers Andrew Castilleja and Jessica Salas, while sole Republican Loran Ayles reports no funds. Scenarios like a primary upset yielding a weakened Democratic nominee, a major scandal, or an overwhelming national Republican wave could challenge this, though structural advantages make upsets unlikely.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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