Incumbent Democrat Chris Deluzio holds a commanding position in Pennsylvania's 17th Congressional District ahead of the May 19 closed primaries, facing no serious primary opposition while Beaver County Sheriff Tony Guy dominates the Republican primary at 91% on prediction markets over Jesse Vodvarka. Deluzio's fundraising dominance—$2.35 million raised and $923,000 cash on hand as of late April, dwarfing Guy's $54,000—reinforces trader consensus on a Democratic hold in the D+3 district, rated Solid or Likely D by Cook Political Report. Absent recent polls or major developments, these factors explain the 68.5% implied probability for Democrats versus 15.5% for Republicans ahead of the November 3 general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/11/04
共和党
24%
民主党
51%
新規
新規
2026/11/04
共和党
$366 Vol.
24%
民主党
$81 Vol.
51%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-17 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Chris Deluzio holds a commanding position in Pennsylvania's 17th Congressional District ahead of the May 19 closed primaries, facing no serious primary opposition while Beaver County Sheriff Tony Guy dominates the Republican primary at 91% on prediction markets over Jesse Vodvarka. Deluzio's fundraising dominance—$2.35 million raised and $923,000 cash on hand as of late April, dwarfing Guy's $54,000—reinforces trader consensus on a Democratic hold in the D+3 district, rated Solid or Likely D by Cook Political Report. Absent recent polls or major developments, these factors explain the 68.5% implied probability for Democrats versus 15.5% for Republicans ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-17 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Dec 16, 2025, 12:49 PM ET
音量
$447終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 12:49 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-17 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Chris Deluzio holds a commanding position in Pennsylvania's 17th Congressional District ahead of the May 19 closed primaries, facing no serious primary opposition while Beaver County Sheriff Tony Guy dominates the Republican primary at 91% on prediction markets over Jesse Vodvarka. Deluzio's fundraising dominance—$2.35 million raised and $923,000 cash on hand as of late April, dwarfing Guy's $54,000—reinforces trader consensus on a Democratic hold in the D+3 district, rated Solid or Likely D by Cook Political Report. Absent recent polls or major developments, these factors explain the 68.5% implied probability for Democrats versus 15.5% for Republicans ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-17 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$447終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 12:49 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Chris Deluzio holds a commanding position in Pennsylvania's 17th Congressional District ahead of the May 19 closed primaries, facing no serious primary opposition while Beaver County Sheriff Tony Guy dominates the Republican primary at 91% on prediction markets over Jesse Vodvarka. Deluzio's fundraising dominance—$2.35 million raised and $923,000 cash on hand as of late April, dwarfing Guy's $54,000—reinforces trader consensus on a Democratic hold in the D+3 district, rated Solid or Likely D by Cook Political Report. Absent recent polls or major developments, these factors explain the 68.5% implied probability for Democrats versus 15.5% for Republicans ahead of the November 3 general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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