President Aleksandar Vučić has repeatedly signaled that Serbia’s next parliamentary election will occur in 2026, well before the scheduled December 2027 deadline, following sustained student-led protests that began in late 2024 and intensified through 2025. His public statements have progressively narrowed the timeline—from vague pledges of an early vote to specific references to May, October–December 2026, or even June 2026 around Vidovdan—while he has held consultations with coalition partners and opposition parties on the matter. These moves, combined with local election results showing narrowing margins for his Serbian Progressive Party and ongoing pressure to address governance grievances, have shaped trader expectations. The implied 87.5% probability for an election before 2027 reflects Vučić’s control over the dissolution process and his strategic choice to reset the political calendar amid domestic challenges.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日セルビアの議会選挙は2027年以前に行われましたか？
セルビアの議会選挙は2027年以前に行われましたか？
はい
$33,524 Vol.
$33,524 Vol.
2026/12/31
はい
$33,524 Vol.
$33,524 Vol.
2026/12/31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Serbian parliamentary election is officially scheduled between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
This market is about whether a date for the next Serbian parliamentary election is formally announced within the stated timeframe. The date the election is scheduled to take place on will have no effect on the resolution to this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Serbia, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Aleksandar Vučić has repeatedly signaled that Serbia’s next parliamentary election will occur in 2026, well before the scheduled December 2027 deadline, following sustained student-led protests that began in late 2024 and intensified through 2025. His public statements have progressively narrowed the timeline—from vague pledges of an early vote to specific references to May, October–December 2026, or even June 2026 around Vidovdan—while he has held consultations with coalition partners and opposition parties on the matter. These moves, combined with local election results showing narrowing margins for his Serbian Progressive Party and ongoing pressure to address governance grievances, have shaped trader expectations. The implied 87.5% probability for an election before 2027 reflects Vučić’s control over the dissolution process and his strategic choice to reset the political calendar amid domestic challenges.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Serbian parliamentary election is officially scheduled between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
This market is about whether a date for the next Serbian parliamentary election is formally announced within the stated timeframe. The date the election is scheduled to take place on will have no effect on the resolution to this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Serbia, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market is about whether a date for the next Serbian parliamentary election is formally announced within the stated timeframe. The date the election is scheduled to take place on will have no effect on the resolution to this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Serbia, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Jan 12, 2026, 5:35 PM ET
音量
$33,524終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Jan 12, 2026, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Serbian parliamentary election is officially scheduled between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
This market is about whether a date for the next Serbian parliamentary election is formally announced within the stated timeframe. The date the election is scheduled to take place on will have no effect on the resolution to this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Serbia, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Aleksandar Vučić has repeatedly signaled that Serbia’s next parliamentary election will occur in 2026, well before the scheduled December 2027 deadline, following sustained student-led protests that began in late 2024 and intensified through 2025. His public statements have progressively narrowed the timeline—from vague pledges of an early vote to specific references to May, October–December 2026, or even June 2026 around Vidovdan—while he has held consultations with coalition partners and opposition parties on the matter. These moves, combined with local election results showing narrowing margins for his Serbian Progressive Party and ongoing pressure to address governance grievances, have shaped trader expectations. The implied 87.5% probability for an election before 2027 reflects Vučić’s control over the dissolution process and his strategic choice to reset the political calendar amid domestic challenges.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Serbian parliamentary election is officially scheduled between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
This market is about whether a date for the next Serbian parliamentary election is formally announced within the stated timeframe. The date the election is scheduled to take place on will have no effect on the resolution to this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Serbia, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market is about whether a date for the next Serbian parliamentary election is formally announced within the stated timeframe. The date the election is scheduled to take place on will have no effect on the resolution to this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Serbia, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$33,524終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Jan 12, 2026, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Aleksandar Vučić has repeatedly signaled that Serbia’s next parliamentary election will occur in 2026, well before the scheduled December 2027 deadline, following sustained student-led protests that began in late 2024 and intensified through 2025. His public statements have progressively narrowed the timeline—from vague pledges of an early vote to specific references to May, October–December 2026, or even June 2026 around Vidovdan—while he has held consultations with coalition partners and opposition parties on the matter. These moves, combined with local election results showing narrowing margins for his Serbian Progressive Party and ongoing pressure to address governance grievances, have shaped trader expectations. The implied 87.5% probability for an election before 2027 reflects Vučić’s control over the dissolution process and his strategic choice to reset the political calendar amid domestic challenges.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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