**President Aleksandar Vučić’s June 2026 announcement that he would resign within weeks and trigger early parliamentary elections later that year has driven the high implied probability for a vote before 2027.** Persistent student-led protests, sparked by the November 2024 Novi Sad railway station collapse that killed 16 people, have sustained pressure for snap elections and greater accountability since late 2024. Vučić subsequently named October 18 or 25, 2026, as the likely dates, with recent reports confirming preparations for a 25 October poll, including expected dissolution of the National Assembly in the coming days. This aligns with Serbia’s pattern of early parliamentary votes under the Serbian Progressive Party (SNS) since 2012 and precedes the originally scheduled end-2027 mandate. The consensus reflects these confirmed procedural steps and public statements rather than speculation.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日セルビアの議会選挙は2027年以前に行われましたか？
セルビアの議会選挙は2027年以前に行われましたか？
はい
92% 確率
$43,434 Vol.
$43,434 Vol.
2026/12/31
はい
92% 確率
$43,434 Vol.
$43,434 Vol.
2026/12/31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Serbian parliamentary election is officially scheduled between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
This market is about whether a date for the next Serbian parliamentary election is formally announced within the stated timeframe. The date the election is scheduled to take place on will have no effect on the resolution to this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Serbia, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**President Aleksandar Vučić’s June 2026 announcement that he would resign within weeks and trigger early parliamentary elections later that year has driven the high implied probability for a vote before 2027.** Persistent student-led protests, sparked by the November 2024 Novi Sad railway station collapse that killed 16 people, have sustained pressure for snap elections and greater accountability since late 2024. Vučić subsequently named October 18 or 25, 2026, as the likely dates, with recent reports confirming preparations for a 25 October poll, including expected dissolution of the National Assembly in the coming days. This aligns with Serbia’s pattern of early parliamentary votes under the Serbian Progressive Party (SNS) since 2012 and precedes the originally scheduled end-2027 mandate. The consensus reflects these confirmed procedural steps and public statements rather than speculation.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Serbian parliamentary election is officially scheduled between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
This market is about whether a date for the next Serbian parliamentary election is formally announced within the stated timeframe. The date the election is scheduled to take place on will have no effect on the resolution to this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Serbia, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market is about whether a date for the next Serbian parliamentary election is formally announced within the stated timeframe. The date the election is scheduled to take place on will have no effect on the resolution to this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Serbia, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Jan 12, 2026, 5:35 PM ET
音量
$43,434終了日
2027/01/01マーケット開始日
Jan 12, 2026, 5:35 PM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Serbian parliamentary election is officially scheduled between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
This market is about whether a date for the next Serbian parliamentary election is formally announced within the stated timeframe. The date the election is scheduled to take place on will have no effect on the resolution to this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Serbia, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**President Aleksandar Vučić’s June 2026 announcement that he would resign within weeks and trigger early parliamentary elections later that year has driven the high implied probability for a vote before 2027.** Persistent student-led protests, sparked by the November 2024 Novi Sad railway station collapse that killed 16 people, have sustained pressure for snap elections and greater accountability since late 2024. Vučić subsequently named October 18 or 25, 2026, as the likely dates, with recent reports confirming preparations for a 25 October poll, including expected dissolution of the National Assembly in the coming days. This aligns with Serbia’s pattern of early parliamentary votes under the Serbian Progressive Party (SNS) since 2012 and precedes the originally scheduled end-2027 mandate. The consensus reflects these confirmed procedural steps and public statements rather than speculation.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Serbian parliamentary election is officially scheduled between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
This market is about whether a date for the next Serbian parliamentary election is formally announced within the stated timeframe. The date the election is scheduled to take place on will have no effect on the resolution to this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Serbia, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market is about whether a date for the next Serbian parliamentary election is formally announced within the stated timeframe. The date the election is scheduled to take place on will have no effect on the resolution to this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Serbia, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$43,434終了日
2027/01/01マーケット開始日
Jan 12, 2026, 5:35 PM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...**President Aleksandar Vučić’s June 2026 announcement that he would resign within weeks and trigger early parliamentary elections later that year has driven the high implied probability for a vote before 2027.** Persistent student-led protests, sparked by the November 2024 Novi Sad railway station collapse that killed 16 people, have sustained pressure for snap elections and greater accountability since late 2024. Vučić subsequently named October 18 or 25, 2026, as the likely dates, with recent reports confirming preparations for a 25 October poll, including expected dissolution of the National Assembly in the coming days. This aligns with Serbia’s pattern of early parliamentary votes under the Serbian Progressive Party (SNS) since 2012 and precedes the originally scheduled end-2027 mandate. The consensus reflects these confirmed procedural steps and public statements rather than speculation.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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