Spider-Man: Brand New Day's record-shattering $360 million domestic opening weekend has established it as the biggest debut in box office history, surpassing Avengers: Endgame, which sets the stage for a robust sophomore frame. Strong word-of-mouth, minimal competition, and a standout Tuesday performance of $42 million—the largest ever—signal sustained audience interest and favorable holds. Industry tracking now points to a second-weekend gross in the $140-150 million range as the most probable outcome, reflecting a typical 55-65% drop from its unprecedented debut while still ranking among the highest second frames on record. Later catalysts like detailed Friday estimates and audience score updates could refine these market-implied odds.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日「スパイダーマン:ブラン・ニュー・デイ」第2週末興行収入(ローワーストライク)
1億4千万〜1億5千万 70%
1億5000万〜1億6000万ドル 17%
1億3千万〜1億4千万ドル 11.6%
<1億3,000万 3.1%
$41,783 Vol.
$41,783 Vol.
<1億3,000万
3%
1億3千万〜1億4千万ドル
12%
1億4千万〜1億5千万
70%
1億5000万〜1億6000万ドル
17%
1億6000万~1億7000万
2%
1億7000万〜1億8000万
1%
1億8千万ドル以上
1%
1億4千万〜1億5千万 70%
1億5000万〜1億6000万ドル 17%
1億3千万〜1億4千万ドル 11.6%
<1億3,000万 3.1%
$41,783 Vol.
$41,783 Vol.
<1億3,000万
3%
1億3千万〜1億4千万ドル
12%
1億4千万〜1億5千万
70%
1億5000万〜1億6000万ドル
17%
1億6000万~1億7000万
2%
1億7000万〜1億8000万
1%
1億8千万ドル以上
1%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
マーケット開始日: Aug 5, 2026, 8:27 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Spider-Man: Brand New Day's record-shattering $360 million domestic opening weekend has established it as the biggest debut in box office history, surpassing Avengers: Endgame, which sets the stage for a robust sophomore frame. Strong word-of-mouth, minimal competition, and a standout Tuesday performance of $42 million—the largest ever—signal sustained audience interest and favorable holds. Industry tracking now points to a second-weekend gross in the $140-150 million range as the most probable outcome, reflecting a typical 55-65% drop from its unprecedented debut while still ranking among the highest second frames on record. Later catalysts like detailed Friday estimates and audience score updates could refine these market-implied odds.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日


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