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icon for トランプがマーク・カーニーと会うのは... ?

トランプがマーク・カーニーと会うのは... ?

icon for トランプがマーク・カーニーと会うのは... ?

トランプがマーク・カーニーと会うのは... ?

新規
2026/08/31
Polymarket

$2,340 Vol.

Polymarket

8月31日

$1,214 Vol.

1%

9月15日

$989 Vol.

8%

9月30日

$72 Vol.

32%

10月31日

$66 Vol.

48%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump meets with Mark Carney between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Trump and Carney are present and interact with each other in person. An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.**Trump and Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney maintain active diplomatic contact amid escalating US-Canada trade tensions, including multiple phone discussions, informal G7 exchanges in June 2026, and prior White House meetings focused on tariffs, CUSMA renewal, NATO, and regional issues.** Carney’s government suspended formal trade talks on August 22 after rejecting last-minute US demands, prompting Trump to impose or threaten 50% tariffs on Canadian autos, steel, and other goods, with Canada pledging matching retaliation effective September 8. These developments have intensified pressure for further bilateral engagement to manage economic fallout and renegotiate terms. Traders price the probability of an in-person or formal meeting by the market’s deadline based on the pace of de-escalation needs, scheduled international forums, and statements from both leaders signaling continued dialogue despite the impasse. Resolution hinges on whether either side initiates a summit before the cutoff or if disputes persist without new high-level talks.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump meets with Mark Carney between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Trump and Carney are present and interact with each other in person.

An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$2,340
終了日
2026/09/15
マーケット開始日
Aug 26, 2026, 6:20 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump meets with Mark Carney between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Trump and Carney are present and interact with each other in person. An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump meets with Mark Carney between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Trump and Carney are present and interact with each other in person. An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.**Trump and Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney maintain active diplomatic contact amid escalating US-Canada trade tensions, including multiple phone discussions, informal G7 exchanges in June 2026, and prior White House meetings focused on tariffs, CUSMA renewal, NATO, and regional issues.** Carney’s government suspended formal trade talks on August 22 after rejecting last-minute US demands, prompting Trump to impose or threaten 50% tariffs on Canadian autos, steel, and other goods, with Canada pledging matching retaliation effective September 8. These developments have intensified pressure for further bilateral engagement to manage economic fallout and renegotiate terms. Traders price the probability of an in-person or formal meeting by the market’s deadline based on the pace of de-escalation needs, scheduled international forums, and statements from both leaders signaling continued dialogue despite the impasse. Resolution hinges on whether either side initiates a summit before the cutoff or if disputes persist without new high-level talks.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump meets with Mark Carney between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Trump and Carney are present and interact with each other in person.

An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$2,340
終了日
2026/09/15
マーケット開始日
Aug 26, 2026, 6:20 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump meets with Mark Carney between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Trump and Carney are present and interact with each other in person. An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

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よくある質問

「トランプがマーク・カーニーと会うのは... ?」はPolymarket上の4個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「10月31日」で48%、次いで「9月30日」が33%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、48¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に48%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「トランプがマーク・カーニーと会うのは... ?」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です(Aug 26, 2026開始)。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「トランプがマーク・カーニーと会うのは... ?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている4個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「トランプがマーク・カーニーと会うのは... ?」の現在のフロントランナーは「10月31日」で48%であり、市場がこの結果に48%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「9月30日」で33%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「トランプがマーク・カーニーと会うのは... ?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。