The Vancouver mayoral race stays tightly contested with a crowded field of declared candidates fragmenting opposition support ahead of the October 17 municipal election. Trader consensus currently places Kareem Allam slightly ahead of incumbent Ken Sim, reflecting Allam's launch of the Vancouver Liberals party and his background as Sim's former chief of staff, which positions him as a credible alternative without fully alienating ABC Vancouver voters. Progressive parties have explicitly rejected a unified mayoral candidate, increasing the chance of vote splitting that could benefit Sim despite polls showing waning public support for his administration's tax and housing policies. Pete Fry and other challengers add further division, while upcoming nomination deadlines in September and ongoing campaign events may clarify paths to victory through targeted outreach to key voting blocs on affordability and development issues.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日カリーム・アラム 42%
ケン・シム 34%
ピート・フライ 15.3%
ウィリアム・アザロフ 5.2%
$67,306 Vol.
$67,306 Vol.

カリーム・アラム
42%

ケン・シム
34%

ピート・フライ
15%

ウィリアム・アザロフ
5%

ジョン・カウパー
2%

コリーン・ハードウィック
1%

レベッカ・ブライ
1%

ショーン・オール
1%

ティム・ルイス
<1%

アマンダ・バローズ
<1%

カーク・ラポイント
<1%

フレッド・ハーディング
<1%
カリーム・アラム 42%
ケン・シム 34%
ピート・フライ 15.3%
ウィリアム・アザロフ 5.2%
$67,306 Vol.
$67,306 Vol.

カリーム・アラム
42%

ケン・シム
34%

ピート・フライ
15%

ウィリアム・アザロフ
5%

ジョン・カウパー
2%

コリーン・ハードウィック
1%

レベッカ・ブライ
1%

ショーン・オール
1%

ティム・ルイス
<1%

アマンダ・バローズ
<1%

カーク・ラポイント
<1%

フレッド・ハーディング
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Vancouver as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Vancouver.
マーケット開始日: Apr 2, 2026, 4:00 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Vancouver as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Vancouver.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The Vancouver mayoral race stays tightly contested with a crowded field of declared candidates fragmenting opposition support ahead of the October 17 municipal election. Trader consensus currently places Kareem Allam slightly ahead of incumbent Ken Sim, reflecting Allam's launch of the Vancouver Liberals party and his background as Sim's former chief of staff, which positions him as a credible alternative without fully alienating ABC Vancouver voters. Progressive parties have explicitly rejected a unified mayoral candidate, increasing the chance of vote splitting that could benefit Sim despite polls showing waning public support for his administration's tax and housing policies. Pete Fry and other challengers add further division, while upcoming nomination deadlines in September and ongoing campaign events may clarify paths to victory through targeted outreach to key voting blocs on affordability and development issues.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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